On the Men’s side, Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, and Andy Murray have combined to win the previous ten Wimbledon titles. On the Women’s side, there has been much more parity, as Wimbledon has crowned a different champion each of the last five years. The closest thing to dominance in that span has been Serena Williams, who has won three titles and finished runner-up on two other occasions. However, there has been an overall dominant force on the WTA for the last several months, as Iga Swiatek has won 35 consecutive matches, tying Venus Williams’ mark for the longest consecutive match winning streak by a woman in this century.
The Women’s Draw received a big jolt with the inclusion of Serena Williams, who will play her first tournament in 12 months. However, there are also notable absences, such as Aryna Sabalenka, Daria Kasatkina, Victoria Azarenka, and Ekaterina Alexandrova, as Wimbledon has banned all players from Russia and Belarus due to the ongoing war in the Ukraine. And most-recently, Naomi Osaka announced she would miss Wimbledon because of an Achilles injury. However, she was also critical of Wimbledon feeling like an exhibition this year as the tournament temporarily did away with ranking points.
This is the first annual BettingPros Guide to Wimbledon, where we will highlight several of the top contenders from both the Men’s and Women’s Draws.
Is any player poised to challenge Swiatek and end her historic winning streak? Will any woman break through for their first Grand Slam title with a somewhat compromised Wimbledon field?
Check out our top outright winner odds and picks for the Men’s draw.
Best 2022 Wimbledon Outright Winner Odds & Picks
The Pick: Djokovic to Win (-120 on DraftKings)
We are generally not in the business of laying such hefty pre-tournament odds on any player, but we cannot find a Men’s player in a weakened field that can beat Djokovic three out of five sets on grass. Djokovic has a straightforward path to the quarterfinals, where he could meet Carlos Alcaraz. Alcaraz defeated Djokovic earlier this year on clay in Madrid, but the young Spaniard is not a proven grass-court player. From there, Djokovic could meet Casper Ruud (who has not won a match at Wimbledon) in the semifinals or Hubert Hurkacz, and the young Pole has made just one semifinal appearance in a Grand Slam (albeit at Wimbledon) in his young career.
Djokovic’s most likely test will be either against Nadal or Berrettini in the finals. However, since Djokovic is 3-1 on grass against Nadal and 3-0 head-to-head overall against Berrettini, we would not expect him to be upset in the final.
Nadal/Djokovic to Win vs. the Field (-180 on FanDuel)
We are backing FanDuel’s prop bet for either Nadal or Djokovic to win Wimbledon over the field, not because we believe in Nadal’s chances, but as a hedge as we think Djokovic is destined for his seventh title.
Nadal overcame injury concerns heading into the French Open, but those concerns appear more worrisome entering Wimbledon, and grass is not even his best surface. In addition, the Spaniard has some tricky opponents in his quarter, starting with a potential second-round match against Sam Querrey, who has used his massive serve to pull upsets over Djokovic and Murray in back-to-back years in 2016 and 2017 at Wimbledon.
Nadal also could face Marin Cilic in the fourth round, and Cilic is coming off the momentum of a semifinal appearance at Roland Garros. And should Nadal get past that round, Felix Auger-Aliassime could await in the quarterfinals, and Aliassime was one set away from handing Nadal just his fourth-ever loss on clay at the French Open. That is too tricky of a path to warrant a play on Nadal’s +120 odds to win the quarter. However, to have something invested in him, we will pair his odds to win with Djokovic’s to be safe.
Wimbledon 2022 Betting Odds, Preview & Predictions
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced strategies — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.