After a packed Wednesday slate full of great games, Thursday’s bounces right back with four games to choose from. With top 25 teams sprinkled throughout, we still have to navigate through COVID-protocol issues as well as opt-outs from players choosing to prepare for the NFL Draft.
Let’s look at the board and where the value remains.
Leg #1. Michigan State -2.5 | -110 at DK Sportsbook
Even with Kenny Pickett (Pitt) and Kenneth Walker III out of this one, oddsmakers, and myself, for that matter, expect this one to be a close game for much of it. For me, however, the loss of Pickett can’t be stated enough as the Panthers will now trout out a QB in Nick Patti with just 14 passes this season, none in notable moments.
For the Spartans, while the loss of Walker will be felt, especially on early downs, Jordon Simmons and Elijah Collins should be enough of a 1-2 punch to get back a good chunk of those yards. As long as quarterback Payton Thorne is on the field, I’m taking the Spartans to win what could very well turn into a shoot-out late.
Leg #2. Wisconsin -6 | -105 at DK Sportsbook
An already struggling Arizona State offense will now head to Las Vegas without their top weapon in running back Rachaad White, who has opted to sit this one out in preparation for the draft. Already scoring just 29.7 points per game, a number good enough for the bottom of the PAC-12, the Sun Devils offense is facing another uphill battle in their opponent for this one.
Ending the season as the #1 defense in the nation, allowing just 241.4 yards per game, the Badgers allow a staggering 65.8 yards on the ground, also #1 in that category. The Sun Devils have yet to play a defensive opponent like this one all season, and I expect the Badgers to pick up their eighth win in their last nine tries rather easily in this one.
Leg #3. Wisconsin/Arizona State Under 42 | -110 at DK Sportsbook
While we’ve already talked about the Badger’s abilities on the defensive side of the ball, it’s worth noting this Sun Devils defensive unit is about the only thing that kept them respectable this season. The Sun Devils allowed just 330.7 yards and 20.9 points per game through the regular season, both good enough for the top 30 in the country.
For the Badgers, their offensive woes run even deeper than the Sun Devils, as they come into this one accruing just 162.1 passing yards per game to tank #118 in the country. I like both defenses to have their way in this one and think it stays well under the posted total.
Total Odds: +611 at DraftKings
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced sports betting strategy — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.