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Best College Football Parlay for Jan 1st (2022)

by December 29, 2021
Matt Corral

We start the New Year with five games starting as early as 12:00 PM, as the Penn State Arkansas game gets us underway. To close out the night, Baylor takes on Ole Miss in the Sugar Bowl, in a game I’ve had circled since the Bowls were announced now just inside a month ago.

Let’s take a look at the board as a whole and key in on the remaining value.

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Leg #1. Iowa-Kentucky Under 44 | -110 at DK Sportsbook

To the surprise of most, Iowa took the Big Ten West by storm this season losing just two regular-season games before winning their last four for a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game. While they ultimately got steamrolled by CFP contender Michigan (42-3), the Hawkeyes have plenty to look back and be proud of and their season is certainly not over with a lot on the line in this one.

Allowing just 19.2 points and 326.9 yards per game this season, the Hawkeyes have relied on a stout defense as their offense has floundered all season long.

A closer look at the Wildcats paints a similar picture, as the team largely overachieved this season finishing 9-3 and second in the SEC East behind Georgia. The makeup of their team also skews to the defense, with an emphasis on a front seven that allowed just 117.9 yards on the ground per game this season.

With two offenses that rely on the rush more than anything else, in addition to their great defenses, expect this one to stay well under the posted total.

Leg #2. Ole Miss ML | -120 at DK Sportsbook

I’ve been looking forward to this game more than any other this Bowl season and I can’t imagine it disappoints. In what will be both quarterback Matt Corral’s (NFL) as well as offensive coordinator Jeff Lebby’s (Oklahoma) last game with Ole Miss, I expect the Rebels to let rip an offense that was among the best in college football yet again this season.

For the Bears, one of the nation’s top defenses will be on display as they come into this one allowing just 19.2 points per game. Like the Rebels, who have four rushers who eclipsed 500 yards this season, the Bears leaned on a rush attack led by backs Abram Smith and Trestan Ebner.

In the end, while this is strength vs. strength, I like for the Rebels to be too much for a defense like Baylor’s that hasn’t seen an attack like this all season long.

Leg #3. Ohio State -4 | -120 at DK Sportsbook

Despite losing the Big Ten Championship Game, the Buckeyes will represent the conference in the Rose Bowl here as the Wolverines qualified for the CFP. Since opening up as -7 favorites, we’ve seen a ton of money come in on the Utes, pushing this line to as low as -4 as of Wednesday afternoon; which is where I’m pouncing.

Despite winning their last six games of the season, two against conference heavyweight Oregon, the rest were against lowly PAC-12 opponents in which they did nothing spectacular. Drawing a Buckeyes team in this one hungry to prove they are better than their Big Ten Championship lost, I think we see a motivated Ohio State who puts this one away late.

Total Odds: +541 at DraftKings

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College Football, Picks