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Bundesliga Sports Betting Picks of the Week (2020)

by May 12, 2020

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It’s been a good week for soccer fans, as it was announced that the English Premier League would return on June 1st, and the Bundesliga returns this Saturday. In case you weren’t following it too closely, all of the teams in the top German soccer league have already played 25 games, and we’ll have nine more games to go.

At last check, Bayern Munich was at the top of the standings table with 55 points. Borussia Dortmund was second with 52 points, and RB Leipzig was in third with 51 points. With the games getting back underway, let’s take a look at three picks for this week’s action. All of the odds are provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Hoffenheim vs. Hertha Berlin

Odds: Hoffenheim +100, Hertha Berlin +260, Draw +260

Hoffenheim has had a rough year, as they are ninth in the standings. They’ll take on Berlin on Saturday, another team that’s had a rough time. They’re 11th, and only three other teams in the entire Bundesliga have more than their 13 losses.

What I’m looking at in this game is an over. We’ve seen the over 2.5 cash in Hoffenheim’s last six home games. On the year, they have seen a total of 50 goals scored in their 13 home games, which boils down to a 3.8 goals-per-game average. As for Berlin, they have seen 38 goals in their 12 road games, and each of their last five games has gone over 2.5 as well.

FanDuel actually lets you choose the total you want to play, as they have over-unders for 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5. I like over 2.5 at -132.

Pick: Over 2.5 at -132

RB Leipzig vs. Freiburg

Odds: RB Leipzig -330, Draw +450, Freiburg +750

If you’re looking at Bundesliga futures, Bayern Munich is obviously the favorite and the top bet, but you might some value with RB Leipzig. They are currently in third place with 55 points, but they might have the easiest schedule of any of the top contenders over the final nine games. It starts this weekend when they take on SC Freiburg, a team that’s currently in eighth place in the standings.

Freiburg is 10-6-9 on the year, but they entered the hiatus with just two wins in their previous six games. They are a decent 6-2-4 at home, but they are worse on the road at 4-4-5. The main issue seems to be at the back end, as they have allowed 21 goals in 13 road games, compared to 14 goals in 12 home games.

RB Leipzig has only lost at home once this season, outscoring opponents 32-13 in their 12 home games. I like them in this spot. Some New Jersey books aren’t really offering the handicap lines, so if you can’t find RB Leipzig at -1 -110, you can stick with the moneyline, even though it’s a steep price.

Pick: RB Leipzig -1 -110

Dortmund vs. Schalke

Odds: Dortmund -180, Draw +320, Schalke +480

We have an interesting split here, as Dortmund is second in the standings while Schalke is sixth. So on the one hand, it doesn’t seem like they’re that far apart, but on the other hand, there’s a 14-point gap between them in points. There are also some significant home-away splits to consider here.

Dortmund is the top home team in the Bundesliga as they are 9-3-0 at home this season. They have allowed just 10 goals in their 12 home games. As for Schalke, they are just 4-4-4 on the road, which is the 10th-best away record. They have been outscored by three goals in their road games. Dortmund has won four in a row at home, and I’m expecting them to push that to five this weekend.

Pick: Dortmund -180

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Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.

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