The AFC playoff picture will widdle down to just three teams heading into Sunday after the Bengals and Titans go at it Nashville. For the Titans, a week off allowed for running back Derrick Henry to return from a broken foot that was thought to potentially keep him out of the entire season.
The Titans will need all the help they can get, as they look to slow down the red-hot Bengals.
Let’s take a closer look at this one and see where the value remains.
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- Opening Line: Titans -3.5, O/U 47
- Current Line: Titans -3, O/U 47
- Last meeting: November 1, 2020, Titans 20, Bengals 31
The Titans started off the season 8-2 looking like one of the best teams in the league before a stretch around the holidays where they lost two of three, nearly blowing the #1 seed in the AFC. Despite missing more than half of the team’s games, Henry still finished the leading rusher for the Titans as they also relied on D’onta Freeman for stretches as well.
For the visiting Bengals, second-year quarterback Joe Burrow has powered an offense that is slowly turning into one of the best in the NFL. In his last two meaningful games of the season, Burrow threw for just shy of 1,000 yards, accruing 8 touchdowns in the process.
Finishing the season #7 in points scored at 27.1, look for the Bengals to continue to succeed through the air in this one against a Titans defense allowing 201.1 yards through the air per game, amongst the worst in the league.
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- Under is 5-0 in Bengals L5 playoff games
- Bengals 5-0 ATS in L5 games
- Bengals 4-0 ATS in L4 vs. Titans
This one opened at Bengals +3.5 where it remained for a couple of days before dropping to +3, where I think it belongs if not even lower. Not only do the Bengals have the superior offense, but the one thing they do best on defense, defend the run, falls right into the likely gameplan of the Titans.
I like for the AFC North champs to keep this one close, and be in position to win outright come Saturday night.
Pick: Bengals +3
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