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We’ve asked our writers for their favorite prop bets of the week.
What is your favorite prop bet for NFL Week 12?
Todd Gurley to get 75+ rushing yards (-112)
The Rams are a mess offensively, but they seemed content handing the ball off to Gurley against a good Chicago defensive front last game. Baltimore ranks 28th in terms of rush defense DVOA, and while some of that is because it’s been blowing out teams, I think that should help Gurley in this game. The Rams don’t want Jared Goff throwing any more pick-sixes, so it wouldn’t be surprising if Gurley got another 20 or so carries after rushing 25 times against the Bears.
– Adam Zdroik (@RotoZdroik)
Derrick Henry to get 125+ rushing yards (+160)
The Titans have found success when they give Derrick Henry the football. In the last four weeks, Henry has averaged 5.45 yards-per-carry and is coming off a season-high 188 rushing yards vs. the Chiefs. He now faces a Jacksonville team who has allowed an egregious 175.3 rushing yards-per-game over the last three games. Henry seems to pick up steam as the season wears on, as he is incredibly tough to tackle and teams tire out. Don’t forget, it was the Jaguars who Henry shredded last year for 238 yards on the ground. Expect the Titans to force-feed Henry the ball all afternoon, and getting him at plus money to go over this total is a risk I’m willing to take.
– Nic Turner (@sportzbandit)
Aaron Jones to get 75+ rushing yards (+105)
The San Francisco 49ers have struggled to stop the run ever since the Cardinals exploited them in Week 9 and came close to beating them. The Packers are going to try to slow the game down and exploit the thing that has been working against the Niners’ defense, especially once they are ahead and trying to kill the clock. On the Niners’ defense, Dee Ford is out with a hamstring injury. They have a slew of injuries on offense too — George Kittle (knee/ankle), Emmanuel Sanders (ribs), Deebo Samuel (shoulder), Matt Breida (ankle) — which should provide Green Bay with a lot of offensive opportunities, including a lot of rushing opportunities. Aaron Jones has been getting the majority of the running work. He should net at least 75 rushing yards in Week 12.
– Tal Malachovsky (@fantasyscouter)
Diontae Johnson to get 50+ receiving yards (-112)
Assuming he plays following last week’s concussion, Steelers wide receiver Diontae Johnson should have zero issues eclipsing 50 yards in this one. The rookie out of Toledo has gone for 60+ yards twice in the past four games, and he will now likely be the team’s No. 1 receiver with JuJu Smith-Schuster likely to miss Sunday’s contest with a knee injury and concussion. The Steelers’ opponent, the Bengals, are also in the bottom half of the NFL in allowing 258.1 passing yards per game. In a game the Steelers desperately need to win to keep pace in the Wild Card race, I like Johnson to not only suit up but have a big game.
– TJ Perun (@JohnnyCovers)