The Kentucky Wildcats haven’t been talked about nearly as much as they should be. This team is currently ranked 11th in the nation and have gone 6-0 with wins over Florida and LSU. Despite Kentucky’s dominance, however, Georgia is a massive favorite and the public is biting too.
The Georgia Bulldogs are also 6-0 on the season and are ranked first in the nation via the AP Poll. It’s well deserved with wins over Clemson, Arkansas, and Auburn as their ranked wins this season. Other than Clemson, no team has even been close to giving Georgia a scare. The Bulldogs continue to get better and better each week, despite never knowing which quarterback will take the field.
Either way, Georgia has been dominant but are they as dominant as being a 23.5 point favorite against an undefeated Kentucky team?
- Opening Line: Georgia -23.5, O/U 44.5
- Current Line: Georgia -23.5, O/U 44.5
- Last meeting: October 31, 2020, Georgia 14, Kentucky 3
It’s clear that Georgia should be the number one team in the nation. The Bulldogs have averaged 39.8 points per game and have allowed just 5.5 points per game. This team is simply averaging two times the amount on offense that they’re allowing on defense with 432.5 yards on offense and 201.2 yards allowed on defense.
It’s unclear if starting quarterback JT Daniels will return this week, but he’s absolutely on pace to get the start. If not, it’d be Stetson Bennett who has done just fine in Daniels’ absence.
Georgia is just elite at everything on the defensive end and have the most future first-round draft picks on their defense.
However, while Georgia has been ridiculously good this season, Kentucky simply might be their biggest challenge of the season. The Wildcats are averaging 31 points per game while allowing just 17.5 points per game. The offense has also found a way to earn over 400 yards per game with over 200 yards rushing the football.
With Will Levis at quarterback, Chris Rodriguez Jr. at running back, and Wan’Dale Robinson at wideout, the Wildcats have some big-time threats on the offensive end. The run game has been really solid with the offensive line stepping up and the defense has been terrific, especially in coverage. They held LSU’s Max Johnson from another three-touchdown game and that was the first time Johnson ever had a game without three passing touchdowns in his career.
- Wildcats are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six conference games.
- Under is 6-1 in Wildcats last seven games as a road underdog.
- Under is 11-2 in Wildcats last 13 games in October.
Georgia is really good this year, without question, but they’re going up against an undefeated Kentucky team that has already been battled tested, It’s not like Kentucky just went out and beat up poor teams. They’re coming off wins against Florida and Auburn and put together the best defensive game plan any team has against LSU throughout Max Johnson’s career.
With the total set at 44.5 and Kentucky expected to win by around 24 points, I’m going to side with Kentucky. This defense held Georgia last year and can do the same this year. The Wildcats aren’t nearly as elite as Georgia is on the defensive end, but they’re close.
The No. 11 team in the nation shouldn’t be a 23.5-point underdog in a college football game. Any given Saturday a team can win. We’re pinning two of the best SEC teams against one another and one team starts up 23.5 points to nothing? Sign me up.
Pick: Kentucky +23.5 (-110)
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