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As we wait for MLB to figure out if it’s going to start or not this season, the KBO keeps soldiering on giving us an entertaining version of baseball to wager on. We put together some solid picks last week going 4-2 despite teasing many lines to give us better odds. That’s really your best way to make money with KBO bets as the baselines are all built to be more low-risk wagers. Here are some bets I’m liking for this Saturday’s slate of action.
Samsung Lions (+125) vs. KT Wiz (-159)
- 12:00 AM EST
- Samsung Run Line: +1.5 (-130)
- KT Run Line: -1.5 (+104)
- Total Runs: Over 9.5 (-114) / Under 9.5 (-112)
The game between these two teams was rained out on Friday, but if we can get clearer weather here for Saturday I like this matchup a lot for the underdog Samsung Lions.
They’ll be sending David Buchanan to the mound who has been pretty spectacular over his last three starts earning a win in each game and allowing just one earned run over that span. He’s struck out 13 over that span as well while walking five and allowing just one home run.
His season as a whole has been mostly terrific with the exception of his 10 earned-run performance last month against LG. The Lions haven’t offered a ton of run support ranking second-worst in the league so far for the month of June, but they have been able to keep games close with just a -1 run differential this month. Buchanan also gets a great matchup against a KT Wiz team that has lost seven of their last 10 games.
The Lions are a decent play straight-up and I would probably even take the alternate total runs line of UNDER 9 to get a slightly better return at +114 odds.
Doosan Bears (-315) at Hanwha Eagles (+225)
- 3:00 AM EST
- Doosan Run Line: -1.5 (-210)
- Hanwha Run Line: +1.5 (+160)
- Total Runs: Over 11.5 (-106) / Under 11.5 (-121)
Bet against the Eagles and cash out. That has been a lock over the last 18 games as the Eagles tremendous losing streak continues. Last week we crushed these bets as they were facing the league-best NC Dinos. This week we get a similar matchup to exploit with them facing the second place Doosan Bears.
The Bears have remained one of the best teams as of late winning seven of their last 10 games while scoring 6.6 runs per game during that span. They have also gotten decent help with their pitching as they’ve allowed just six home runs this month — least in the league. Their offense is led by former major leaguer Jose Fernandez whose 1.66 WAR ranks third-best in the league. The Bears will be sending out pitcher Hui-kwan Yu to the mount who has put together a 4-1 record over six games with three quality starts. He’s only allowed two HRs this season while striking out 12.
The Eagles have an incredible -73 run differential over the last 10 games alone and haven’t scored more than three runs in a single game during that span. In the midst of these struggles, their manager Han Yong-duk decided to resign. This is a sinking ship wit no captain at the moment.
There isn’t much value here in the moneyline for Doosan even though that is pretty much a lock, but since I have been liking moving the run lines and over/unders around a lot for KBO, the ML does help you secure something in return. You start getting better odds for Doosan here if you take them at -3.5 for +110 and given how the Eagles have struggled to put anything on the board as of late, I will take my chances there.
KIA Tigers (-129) at SK Wyverns (+102)
- 3:00 AM EST
- KIA Run Line: -1.5 (+128)
- SK Run Line: +1.5 (-165)
- Total Runs: Over 9.5 (-106) / Under 9.5 (-121)
This matchup offers us two teams who are heading in opposite directions as of late.
The KIA Tigers are 6-4 over their last 10 games and have averaged 5.8 runs per game during that span, good for third-most in the league while allowing just 3.7 runs per game. They’re led by outfielder Preston Tucker who has made his rounds with various MLB teams. He was most recently in the White Sox Minor League system but requested a release to play in the KBO. He’s hit nine HRs this season, good for fourth-most in the league.
The Tigers are sending out pitcher Ki-young Im for this game who is on pace for a career year. He’s allowed just one earned run in half of his starts this season while striking out 28 batters over six games.
The Wyverns have lost six of their last 10 games and won just 11 games all season. The only team below them in the standings right now are the barely-there Hanwha Eagles. The Wyverns have averaged just 3.6 runs per game over their last 10 which is third-worst in the league during that span. They’ve also hit just seven home runs over their last 10 games which ranks second-worst.
The Wyverns are sending out pitcher Seung-won Moon who has been slightly worse than the Tigers starter. Moon has a 4.68 ERA and 1.38 WHIP coming into this game but he has struck out 33 batters this season which is slightly better than Im.
Overall, I like KIA’s hitting to take charge here against an average starter but I don’t really expect either team to light up the scoreboard. These teams combined for nine total runs in the first game of this series and I think we can expect something comparable again in this matchup. The recent form makes the Tigers a comfortable pick for both the moneyline and set run line.