Preseason NFL futures bets can take months to pay out, but they can be profitable thanks to favorable odds in exchange for the long play. Throughout this NFL Players Futures Odds series, we’ll take a look at the best odds across every major sportsbook and compare them to our 2022 NFL season projections and notes and analysis from our experts.

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Lamar Jackson 2022 NFL Season Projections

PASS CMP	PASS ATT	PASS YDS	PASS TDS	PASS INTS	RUSH ATT	RUSH YDS	RUSH TDS	FUMBLES	POINTS
333.9	513.5	3706.1	24.7	13.1	156.7	891.7	4.2	4.3	339.6

Players that want to ball out for the bag

That I’ll be overweight 💰 on:

Lamar Jackson
Saquon Barkley
Allen Lazard
Parris Campbell
Dalton Schultz
Irv Smith Jr.

— Derek Brown (@DBro_FFB) July 3, 2022

Lamar Jackson 2022 NFL Futures Odds

MVP

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
LAMAR JACKSON BAL – QB	+2000	+2000	+2000	+2000	+2000	+2200	+2200

Offensive Player of Year

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
LAMAR JACKSON BAL – QB	+2200	+2500	NL	+2500	NL	+2200	+2200

Most Passing Touchdowns

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
LAMAR JACKSON BAL – QB	+5000	NL	NL	NL	+5000	NL	NL

Most Passing Yards

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
LAMAR JACKSON BAL – QB	+7500	NL	+5000	+5000	+7500	+8000	+8000

Most Rushing Yards

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
LAMAR JACKSON BAL – QB	+4000	NL	+4000	+4000	+8000	+4000	+4000

FantasyPros Expert Note

Lamar Jackson had a season to forget in 2021, as he dealt with a plethora of injuries/illnesses and regressed immensely as a passer. Two key metrics at PFF that are important to analyze for QBs are performance in a clean pocket and throwing at the intermediate level.

Jackson ranked 28th in passer rating from a clean pocket (90.4) and 22nd in PFF passing grade at the intermediate level (70.0). Despite all his shortcomings as a passer, Jackson still finished the season second in expected fantasy points per game (23.8) and seventh in fantasy points per game (21.3).

His expected fantasy point per game output marked the highest of his career thanks to the Ravens’ willingness to throw more in 2021. From 2019-2020, Jackson had 37 or more passing attempts in a game only four times. He did so five times in 2021, with Baltimore throwing at a 60% clip.

However, I would not anticipate the pass-heavy approach to continue into 2022. Their philosophical change on offense was forced out of necessity based on the injuries. But a lack of passing doesn’t impact Jackson they way it does most other QBs with his greatest fantasy asset being his legs.

Jackson may never recapture his 2019 rare MVP form when he averaged north of 28 fantasy points per game, but a 22-point per game average seems like his norm based on his last two years of fantasy production. In 2020, he led all QBs in fantasy points per dropback. That cements him as a clear-cut top-5 fantasy QB.

-Andrew Erickson

What are Player Futures?

Player futures refer to any player-based wager for a future event or a result. These bets often do not pay out until weeks or even months from when they are originally placed. Most player futures are built around a specific statistic, where bettors determine whether that player will come in above or below the oddsmakers’ total. They often open with odds at -110 but are adjusted based on where the majority of bets are placed.

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