We struck out with yesterday’s three MLB home run props. Let’s get back on track with today’s three picks. Take a look below and tail if you’d like.
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Saturday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
George Springer (+410)
George Springer has smashed a .209 ISO and a wOBA of .357 against righties over the last month. He’s limited strikeouts to below 16% and has added 27.3% of fly balls with 45.5% of hard contact against righties over the last month.
Springer faces Colin Rea of the Cubs, who has allowed a .362 ISO and a wOBA of .394 to his last 54 righties. Rea is a righty himself, but he’s allowed over 38% of fly balls with a 20.5% barrel rate to righties during this stretch.
Let’s ride with Springer to launch one out of the yard tonight.
Ryan O’Hearn (+470)
Tomoyuki Sugano is on the bump tonight for the Colorado Rockies. The right-hander has allowed a .268 ISO and a wOBA of .372 to his last 62 lefties. Those lefties have hit a 16.3% barrel rate with nearly 39% of fly balls. Sugano has also struck out just 11.3% of lefties over the last month.
Ryan O’Hearn has a .375 ISO and a wOBA of .365 against righties over the last month. He has drilled 66.7% of fly balls against righties during that time frame.
We’ll likely get some big-time fly balls from O’Hearn tonight. Hopefully, he can launch one over the fences.
Julio Rodriguez (+410)
Julio Rodriguez has contributed a .208 ISO and a wOBA of .330 against his last 85 lefties. Rodriguez has limited strikeouts to just 3.8% during that time and has earned 39.1% of fly balls against lefties. Rodriguez also leads the Mariners’ starting lineup with a 65.2% hard-hit rate and a 13% barrel rate against lefties.
Rodriguez will take on Connelly Early of the Red Sox, who has watched his last 78 righties hit a .254 ISO and a wOBA of .401. Early has allowed nearly 35% of fly balls and continues to fall behind in counts against righties.
Rodriguez should be able to take advantage.
