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NFL Futures: Best NFC Champion Value Bets (2020)

by March 1, 2019

We recently took a look at the best value bets to win Super Bowl LIV. Now, we’re turning our attention to each conference. To kick things off, we asked our experts to provide their favorite value bet to win the NFC. Here are the odds they used:

Team Odds
Los Angeles Rams 9/2
New Orleans Saints 5/1
Chicago Bears 8/1
Minnesota Vikings 8/1
Green Bay Packers 10/1
Philadelphia Eagles 10/1
Dallas Cowboys 12/1
Seattle Seahawks 15/1
Atlanta Falcons 20/1
Carolina Panthers 25/1
New York Giants 25/1
San Francisco 49ers 25/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35/1
Washington Redskins 50/1
Arizona Cardinals 60/1
Detroit Lions 60/1

Who is your favorite value bet to win the NFC?

Falcons: 20/1
“I’d take the Falcons at 20/1 to win the Super Bowl, let alone just win the NFC Championship. Granted, they’ve got some stellar teams to compete with from the Rams and Saints to the Bears and Vikings, but in terms of talent on paper, I’d pencil Atlanta right in the middle of that group. Now that their defense is healthy, we could be talking about a top-10 unit to pair with their top-five offense.”
Bobby Sylvester (@bobbyfantasypro)

“The Atlanta Falcons at 20-1 are my top value pick to win the NFC championship. Injuries on the defensive side of the ball to two of their best players in Keanu Neal and Deion Jones torpedoed the Falcons ability to stay competitive early in the season. They would go on to lose Ricardo Allen and deal with injuries to their main man in the middle, Grady Jarrett. With all of their key defensive starters expected to return (Jarrett will be franchise tagged if a contract agreement cannot be reached) the Falcons are in a prime position to challenge for the NFC crown. The Falcons boast one of the top offenses in the NFL and a very underrated defense when healthy. With a few key additions looming for the Falcons this offseason they could quickly become the runaway favorite to win the NFC. The Falcons will look to address corner, defensive tackle, linebacker and running back in the draft and free agency, and they should be able to land impact players at every one of those positions with a deep draft class to pull from following free agency in March. Lock in a one unit wager and watch with excitement as the offseason plays out.”
– Raju Byfield (@FantasyContext)

Cowboys: 12/1
“The Cowboys just fell one game shy of the NFC Championship. Free agent DL Demarcus Lawrence is one to keep an eye on, but beyond him, Dallas’ key pieces return. Dak Prescott enters just his fourth year, while a full offseason with Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup provide promise. The relative weakness of the NFC East also supplies a nice edge for Dallas (and Philadelphia). There’s a ways to go, sure, but I currently consider Washington and New York sub-.500 teams.”
– Kevin English (@DraftSharks)

Packers: 10/1
“This isn’t me saying that I believe the Packers are going to win the NFC, but rather that they present the best value of teams that have a shot. Why? Because they have the most talented quarterback to ever play the game, and it’s a quarterback driven league. With the state of the Chiefs’ defense last year, did you believe they had a chance to get to the Super Bowl? Nobody would’ve picked them, but their MVP quarterback carried them. Rodgers is capable and the change to the coaching staff will only help. If I wasn’t looking for a value, I’d take the Saints at 5:1 odds.”
– Mike Tagliere (@MikeTagliereNFL)

Saints: 5/1
“Taken in totality, the Saints have been the best team in the conference the last two years. They’ve been eliminated in the playoffs on two incredibly unlikely plays. The 2019 season/2020 playoffs will be the year that this version of the Saints finally breaks through.”
– Jared Still (@jaredstill)

Seahawks: 15/1
“I like Atlanta’s odds, but I’ll go against the grain with Seattle. The Seahawks were one of the bigger surprises of 2018 and they should only get better in 2019. Doug Baldwin will be healthier and the defense should add a couple more pieces. I’m tentative on Brian Schottenheimer, but maybe he’ll learn from the Dallas debacle.”
– Adam Zdroik (@RotoZdroik)

49ers: 25/1
“The 49ers aren’t the first team that comes to mind when thinking about threats to come out of the NFC, but they should be. Let’s not forget how excited we were to see this offense during the offseason. The signings of Jimmy G and Jerick McKinnon to go along with George Kittle had us dreaming of what Kyle Shanahan could do with team SPARQ score. The 49ers may be coming off only four wins, but what can you really expect from a team that loses their starting RB…then their starting QB…then their backup RB for a few weeks…then their starting WR…then their third-string RB…then their backup QB. Had it not been for the emergence of Kittle and Breida this would have been quite the embarrassing season for Shanahan. Assuming the injury gods take it easy on them this season, they should enter the year with a low-key elite offense. Add in the potential signing of AB or Bell and you get a team that’s drastically underpriced. Is their defense good? Nope. But let’s be honest, how many teams are you really scared of offensively in the NFC? The Saints and Rams will absolutely pose an issue, but the 49ers always tend to play the Rams tight. Four of the six highest scoring offenses in the league were in the AFC last season, with the only real threats to enter that space being the Falcons and the Bears. So as long as this defense can improve a little bit, and as long as they aren’t decimated by injuries again, then they’re hands down the best value pick for NFC champions.”
– Nick Zylak (@nickzylakFFA)

Bears: 8/1
“I am surprised to see that no one has discussed Chicago thus far. Trading for Khalil Mack at the beginning of the 2018 season sent the same unanimous message to everyone, they are trying to win now. If it wasn’t for Cody Parkey (who was cut recently), Chicago would have steeper odds heading into the 2019 season so I think we are seeing a bit of value on them right now. But the main reason why I like the Bears so much is an obvious one. Their defense is going to be absolutely spectacular once again. They have a difficult decision to make in terms of whether or not to re-sign slot-corner Bryce Callahan and safety Adrian Amos, but the defense will likely not miss a beat even if they can bring back only one of those guys for the new season. Football Outsiders listed their 2018 defense as one of the three best overall defensive units in the last 10 years, and I do not see them straying too far away from that level of production in 2019.”
– Shane Davies (@sbdavies7)