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This game doesn’t necessarily scream must-watch television when looking at the Week 7 schedule. However, there’s some intrigue within this NFC vs. AFC clash at Lambeau Field. The Packers are coming off a controversial 23-22 last-second victory over the Lions on Monday Night Football. That moves them to 5-1 on the season, but they’ll contend with plenty of injury situations (especially at wide receiver) while playing on a shortened week.
Meanwhile, the Raiders last played on October 6, pulling off an upset 24-21 victory over the Bears in London. That makes two straight wins over quality opponents, as Oakland also took down Indianapolis 31-24 on the road in Week 5. The Raiders are a respectable 3-2 while heading to Green Bay following a bye week. Aside from playing on the road, the underdog seems to be trending favorably in terms of rest and health. Will that be enough for the Raiders to stay within the number?
- Opening Lines: The spread opened at Packers -7.5, dropping several points since then. The over/under has risen marginally after opening at 46.
- Current Line: Packers -5.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook
- O/U: 46.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook
- Location: Lambeau Field – Green Bay, WI
- Start Time: 1:00pm ET
- Television: CBS
- Last Meeting: December 20, 2015 – Packers defeated Raiders 30-20 in Oakland
Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers will probably be without a few receivers in this contest, as Davante Adams, Geronimo Allison, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling are all highly questionable. Adams is the top receiver to monitor, and the health of those top three receiving options can help explain the line movement against Green Bay.
On the other hand, Oakland will need to take advantage of the Packers’ vulnerable rushing defense if they want to stay in this game. Green Bay ranks 26th in the NFL while allowing 4.9 yards per carry this season. That’s great news for Raiders rookie running back Josh Jacobs, who posted 143 total yards against the Bears in Week 5. He will likely be the focal point of Oakland’s offensive gameplan once again.
- The Packers are 12-6 to the under on the road since 2017.
- The Packers are 6-3 ATS vs. AFC since 2017.
- The Raiders are 3-6-1 ATS vs. NFC over the past two years.
- The Raiders are 10-6 to the under on the road in the past two years.
Aaron Jones OVER 63 Rushing Yards
Jones had a bad night on Monday, as he lost carries to fellow running back Jamaal Williams. While that’s a concerning trend moving forward, I believe both runners will see substantial volume on Sunday. As mentioned earlier, the Packers could be without their top three receivers, so they’ll look to enact a run-heavy approach. Jones has topped 100 yards in two of his last five games, and a combination of game flow mixed with an emphasis on the running game should propel him over this 63-yard threshold.
I’m expecting a tight, competitive game here. The Raiders haven’t flinched against legitimate competition away from home over their past two games, and they’ve had two weeks to prepare for this matchup. Meanwhile, the Packers are trying to patch things together while dealing with crucial injuries. Maybe Rodgers and the Packers pull this one out, but Oakland should keep it in the number.
Pick: Raiders +5.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Check out our other NFL Sports Betting Guides for Week 7
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts (-1)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals (+4)
Arizona Cardinals vs. New York Giants (-3)
Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions (+2)
Los Angeles Rams vs. Atlanta Falcons (+3)
San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Redskins (+9.5)
Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills (-16.5)
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans (-2.5)
New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears (-4)
Baltimore Ravens vs. Seattle Seahawks (-3)
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys (-2.5)
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets (+9.5)