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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Odds & Game Pick (2021)

by November 15, 2021
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The Oklahoma State Cowboys aren’t be talking about enough. The Cowboys are 9-1 on the year with their lone loss to Iowa State, on the road, 24-21. This is the same team that knocked off Baylor to start October.

There’s a tiny chance the Cowboys find their way into the College Football Playoff, but Oklahoma State could be looking ahead in this spot with Oklahoma coming up the following week.

The Sooners will take on a Texas Tech team already bowl eligible with a 6-4 record. However, the Red Raiders had lost three of their last four before defeating Iowa State last week, 41-38.

Texas Tech is going bowling regardless, but for a washed-up season, getting additional wins would be pretty impressive. Here are our predictions for Oklahoma State against Texas Tech.

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  • Opening Line: Oklahoma State -10.5, O/U 56.5
  • Current Line: Oklahoma State -10.5, O/U 57.5
  • Last meeting: November 28, 2020, Oklahoma State 50, Texas Tech 44


Between these two teams, we’re used to seeing shootouts or at least insane offense from one of the two teams. Texas Tech has a solid offense this season and could bring it against Oklahoma State at home. The Red Raiders average 33.6 points per game with 440.6 yards per game on the offensive end. There’s plenty of potential with this offense.

Defensively is where things go south. Texas Tech is giving up over 400 yards of offense and allowing 33.5 points per game. The tackling has been lackluster, and the coverage has been far from perfect too. Texas Tech is giving up 270.4 yards in the air per game and 136.5 yards on the ground per game.

On the offense, Texas Tech has backup quarterback Donovan Smith doing the dirty work. Texas Tech’s future looks bright as he has four touchdowns and two interceptions on 46-of-59 this season as a freshman. He’s got plenty of playmakers to work within the running game and passing game but doesn’t have a defense that will back him. Texas Tech needs 40 points or more every game to win at this point.

Oklahoma State’s defense is also outstanding, which will be a factor with Texas Tech playing a freshman. The Cowboys have allowed just 88.4 yards rushing and 276.6 yards per game this season. The coverage is also just as good as the rushing defense, and the pass rush has done well throughout the season. Texas Tech doesn’t have the best pass protection, which gives Oklahoma State a big edge on the defensive end.

On offense, Spencer Sanders has anchored this team to a 9-1 record with 14 touchdowns and six interceptions on the year. The Cowboys won’t rely on him too often and will primarily run the football, but when they ask something of the junior, Sanders usually delivers.

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  • Cowboys are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
  •  Cowboys are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on FieldTurf.

Bottom Line 

Not only is Oklahoma State 9-1 in their last ten games, but also in their last eight games, the Cowboys have won against the spread in every single game. Oklahoma State isn’t getting much love due to being in the Big-12. Still, if they’re able to get the win against Texas Tech and then knock out Oklahoma in the following week, there will be the potential talk of the Cowboys playing in the College Football Playoff if they’re also able to win the Big 12.

In a game before Oklahoma, I don’t see the Cowboys letting this game slip away. The defense has been so dominant, and the offense has run the ball very well., With the way Texas Tech tackles, there will be some big runs throughout this game for Oklahoma State.

Pick: Oklahoma State -10.5 (-110)

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Jason Radowitz is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Jason, check out his archive and follow him @Jason_Radowitz.

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