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Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys Odds and Game Pick (2020)

by December 26, 2020

Week 16 featured an NFC East matchup that could end up being important in determining the playoff team from this poor division. The Philadelphia Eagles, led by rookie Jalen Hurts, will travel to take on the Dallas Cowboys. Currently, the Eagles are the road favorite to win.

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Eagles vs. Cowboys Odds and Info

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Game Odds

  • Opening Lines: PHI -1.0, O/U 49.5
  • Location: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX
  • Start Time: 4:25 p.m. EST
  • Coverage: FOX
-2.5
-108
o50
-114
-142
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+2.5
-112
u50
-106
+120

View consensus odds, picks, and matchup notes from top betting experts for the Eagles vs. Cowboys >>

Overview

Boy, Jalen Hurts has really taken over the headlines for how good he is, despite going 1-1 and putting up Tim Tebow stat lines. Hurts in Weeks 14 and 15: 55% completion rate, 505 passing yards, four passing touchdowns, 169 rushing yards, and one rushing touchdown. Tebow in Weeks 16 and 17 his rookie year: 49% completion rate, 513 passing yards, three passing touchdowns to three interceptions, 121 rushing yards, two rushing touchdowns, and a 1-1 record.

Hurts did more with his arm last week against the Cardinals, passing for over 300 yards. The biggest issue for this offense continues to be pass protection, as Hurts was sacked six times in the loss. Defensively, the Eagles seem to be an underrated unit overall. They are tied for tenth in fewest yards per play allowed (5.4). Philadelphia is also allowing just 4.2 yards per carry (No. 11) and they are second in the league for sack percentage (8.59%). Their big issue is that they allow a lot of points, giving up 25.8 points per game and 3.0 touchdowns per game.

Dallas is making a late push for the top spot in the NFC East. They have put up 30+ points in three of the past five weeks, and Andy Dalton is playing conservative, efficient football. Over these five games, he has completed 66% of his passes for 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. One of the biggest focus points in this game is how well the Cowboys’ beat-up offensive line protects Dalton. We already noted how well Philadelphia gets after the quarterback. Dallas only gave up two sacks to the 49ers last week, though this was partially due to using Tony Pollard as a receiving outlet out of the backfield. With Ezekiel Elliott expected to play this week, this is a strategy Dallas cannot abandon if they wish to win this game.

Trends

  • The total has hit the under in six of Philadelphia’s last eight games against Dallas.
  • Philadelphia is 0-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last five road games. 
  • The total has hit the over in seven of Dallas’ last nine games at home.

Prop Bet

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Alternate Spread: Cowboys +3.5 (-150)
I think this is going to be a close, back-and-forth game. Given this, I am much more willing to side with the home team if I can get the line past three points to protect myself from a game-winning field goal. Yes, the odds aren’t as sweet, but I’ll already hate myself for betting on an NFC East divisional matchup, so what’s a little more self-hatred added on top?

Bottom Line

The Eagles have proven that they cannot defend if the pass rush is slowed down at all. I expect to see a lot of Elliott pass blocking and Pollard catching the ball out of the backfield to beat this pass rush. Philadelphia also does not have the personnel to cover the three wide receivers for Dallas. I’m more willing to bet on a costly mistake from the rookie who struggles with efficiency than from the veteran that has looked re-energized following his return from injury.

Pick: Cowboys +2.5

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Zach Brunner is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Zach, check out his archive and follow his work at FlurrySports.

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