I thought we were supposed to have a winning day on Thanksgiving! Yesterday didn’t go as planned, however, the good news is that we’re back with some more action for Friday, November 26.
I’ve got an early game, a later game, and an even later game so that you can enjoy college basketball throughout the day.
All odds via BettingPros consensus
Samford vs North Carolina A&T: Samford -125 Moneyline
(2:30 PM ET tip)
North Carolina A&T has been awful on the offensive end. The Aggies have shot an effective field goal percentage of 41.7 percent with just 22.7 percent offensive rebounds on the year. This offense is so bad that they rarely get to the line and are shooting just 26.8 percent from three and 42.9 percent from inside the arc.
While Samford doesn’t play the best defense inside the paint, the Bulldogs are at least holding opponents to 29.4 percent from long range. On the other hand, Samford is shooting 35.3 percent from long range and have an effective field goal percentage of 49.6 percent.
While NC A&T doesn’t get to the line often, the Aggies have no problem fouling the opposition and sending them to the line. Samford isn’t getting to the line at a high rate either but I’m expecting they’ll find the line more often in this one and shoot 75 percent to start the year. Take Samford to win outright.
Northern Kentucky Norse vs DePaul Blue Demons: DePaul -6 (-110)
(5:00 PM ET tip)
DePaul dominates the offensive glass and that’s one area where the Blue Demons should find a lot of success. They’re bringing down 39.6 percent offensive rebounds in comparison to Northern Kentucky allowing 38.5 percent of offensive rebounds to start the season. The Norse also allows a 51.3 percent effective field goal percentage and allows the opposition to shoot 38.1 percent from long range this season.
While Northern Kentucky has kept teams off the line so far this season, there’s a good chance the scrappy DePaul team can force Northern Kentucky’s hands and get to the line more often with its aggressive style of play on the glass.
On the other hand, Northern Kentucky has turned the ball over 23.4 percent of the time and is shooting just 42 percent inside the arc. The Norse are knocking doe 40 percent of threes but don’t take three-point shots all that often.
When DePaul wins the turnover battle, fouling battle, and rebounding battle, the Blue Demons will win this game by double digits.
Towson vs New Mexico: New Mexico +2 (-110)
(9:00 PM ET tip)
Towson plays a bit wacky. This team loves to play their games at the foul line, despite shooting under 70 percent from the line. The Tigers are shooting a 45.8 percent effective field goal percentage and are shooting 28.3 percent from downtown to start the season.
Towson has been able to limit turnovers and should be able to dominate on the offensive glass but overall, the offense just isn’t there to stick around.
Meanwhile, New Mexico is shooting 39.1 percent from long range and a 54.1 percent effective field goal percentage. If this game is going to be foul central for Towson, the Tigers are going to lose that battle with New Mexico shooting 74.8 percent from the foul line this season. I like New Mexico’s offense to help defeat Towson in the Las Vegas Invitational. I’ll play it safe though and take the +2.
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