We cashed in a +506 parlay yesterday thanks to Rockies and Tigers keeping it light on the offense, the Yankees being bombers in the Bronx, and the Rays with the series win. Monday, there’s always a smaller slate, but we found some games to help you come away with a big payday.
(Odds courtesy DraftKings)
Colorado Rockies (+160) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-190)
(First Pitch: 6:45 p.m. ET)
The Rockies do not bring their bats on the road so far as they’re hitting just .230 away from Denver and batted .222 during their three-game series in Detroit, and a six-run outing on Sunday inflated these stats quite a bit.
That could be trouble heading into this matchup as Kyle Freeland has struggled to start the season. Although he didn’t factor into the decision in his previous start against the Phillies, it was his best start to date, pitching 5.2 innings and allowing just two earned.
The Phillies will send up Kyle Gibson, who’s been solid with a 3.57 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 17.2 innings. While Gibson was decent in his start against Colorado last week, allowing three earned in six innings but only three strikeouts. Expect a higher amount of K’s in this game– while Colorado’s 20.2 home strikeout percentage is sixth-lowest, their road strikeout percentage of 25.7 is 23rd.
The Phillies present the better pitcher in this matchup, and they will get the first win in this series.
Leg 1: Phillies ML
New York Mets (-145) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (+125)
(First Pitch: 7:45 p.m. ET)
It might be a surprise to some that the Mets without Jacob deGrom are entering the last week of April in the first place. They’ve been one of the better hitting teams in the league as they’re fifth in batting average (.255), second in on-base percentage (.343). With their 2.83 ERA, it’s helped them to be second in run differential at +28.
The $40 million man Max Scherzer is making his contract feel like a bargain as he’s 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA. He’s coming off a fantastic start where he allowed one hit in seven innings and struck out 10. Although he’ll be wearing the road grays, the St. Louis native feels right at home in Busch Stadium, where he is 3-2 with a 2.04 ERA in six starts.
The Cardinals will send up one of their best pitchers on the mound this season in Miles Mikolas’. St. Louis is 3-0 in Mikolas’ starts, and he has a 1.76 ERA coming into this game. The offense is not nearly as deep as the Mets, but Nolan Arenado has been carrying this team, batting .364, with five home runs and an OPS of 1.154. Unfortunately, after Tommy Edman at .313, no one else in this lineup is batting over .240.
This should be a fun early-season matchup with two teams that should be in the playoff picture. A much deeper Mets lineup should help give Max more run support, and the Cardinals have struggled against right-handed pitching this season.
Leg 2: Mets ML
Los Angeles Dodgers (-195) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (+165)
(First Pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET)
Los Angeles has delivered with their cast of all-stars and MVPs as they sit in first place in the NL West. They are a well-balanced team that is third in runs per game (5.14) and lead the league with a 2.24 ERA.
They will send Walker Buehler to the mound, who isn’t pitching awful by usual standards, but when you’re an all-star with a career 2.93 ERA, sitting with an ERA of 4.02 isn’t ideal. This looks to be a get-right game as in 11 starts, Buehler is 4-0 with a 2.24 ERA against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona will have Merill Kelly, whose 0.59 ERA is currently the third-best in baseball. This game will be challenging for Kelly, who is 0-4 with a 4.58 ERA in seven starts against Los Angeles and has only allowed less than three earned runs in one of those starts.
When you’ve only allowed one earned run in 15.1 innings, the record should be better, but besides the 11-run, highly unusual game against the Nationals, the D-Backs have scored just one run in his previous two starts.
While Kelly is the better pitcher this year, he’s going against an offensive juggernaut he’s struggled against his whole career. Buehler has the better history, and Arizona is one of the worse all-around offenses in the league.
Leg 3: Dodgers -1.5
Total parlay odds on DraftKings: +372
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