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UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot Betting Guide, Odds & Picks (2022)

by June 25, 2022
UFC Fight Night

One week removed from an electric night of fights at UFC Austin, the UFC returns with another night of free fights (on the ESPN family of networks), back at home in Las Vegas in the UFC Apex. While last week’s card will be hard to live up to, both the prelim and main card of this one feature some of the roster’s most exciting names.

Let’s take a closer look at the co-main and main events and two of my favorite plays of the evening.

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 Arman Tsarukyan (18-2-0) vs. Mateusz Gamrot (20-1-0)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook 

Tsarukyan ran into a buzzsaw in his first fight with the UFC, taking the #3 lightweight contender Islam Makhachev the distance before losing via unanimous decision. Earning a Fight of the Night bonus for that fight, Tsarukyan has proved himself in the time since, picking up four straight wins. Despite his smaller stature, his reach is deceptively long, and his striking statistics further prove that point with a significant striking accuracy of 61.6 percent.

Facing a fighter in Gamrot who’s on a winning streak (three) of his own since also joining the UFC with a loss, he’ll have to be careful to stay upright. Coming into this fight, Gamrot holds a large edge in takedown averages at 5.83 (vs. 3.47).

While the odds have gotten a bit long on the favorite, Tsarukyan, I do think he gets it done as the more tested and athletic fighter in this bout. Being his first main event, I’d look for him to get it done with a statement as well.

Pick: Arman Tsarukyan by KO/TKO or Submission +135

Neil Magny (26-9-0) vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov (15-0-0)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook 

The veteran will take on a newcomer in this one, as Neil Magny takes on the latest killer out of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Rakhmonov, who has yet to lose a professional fight. As far as Magny is concerned, the fan-favorite is getting no favors with this matchup, as he’s been with the company for 10 years and has lost just twice since 2017.

As for Rakhmonov, the Master of Sambo will be making his highest-profile octagon walk with this fight, and if his fight history is any indication, he won’t be in there for long. In his 15 pro fights, Rakhmonov has yet to go the distance with all but one over before the second bell.

He’ll also step into the octagon with a sizeable edge in striking accuracy (71.8% vs. 58%), as well as grappling with 1.88 submissions per 15 minutes (vs. 0.3). While I doubt the veteran Magny gets caught early, I do like for Rakhmonov to catch him before it’s all said and done.

Pick: Shavkat Rakhmonov to win by KO/TKO in Rounds 2 or 3 +450

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