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Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers Odds & Game Pick

by December 6, 2019

This NFC matchup features two teams that are both technically in the playoff race. Obviously, the Packers are leading the NFC North and are near locks to make the playoffs. Meanwhile, the NFC East is so terrible that the 3-9 Washington Redskins are still technically in the hunt. Will they pull off the upset and keep their postseason hopes alive?

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Redskins vs Packers Odds and Info

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • Opening Lines: GB -14.0, O/U 42.5
  • Moneyline: WAS: (+540) | GB: (-700)
  • Spread: WAS: +13 (-120) | GB: -13 (+100)
  • Total: 41.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
  • Location: Lambeau Field — Green Bay, WI
  • Start Time: 1 pm ET
  • Coverage: FOX

Injuries

  • Washington Redskins: WR Paul Richardson (Q), WR Trey Quinn (Q), LB Ryan Anderson (Q), G Brendon Scherff (Q), LB Montez Sweat (Q)
  • Green Bay Packers: OT Bryan Bulaga (Q), WR Ryan Grant (Q), TE Jimmy Graham (Q), CB Kevin King (Q)

View consensus picks from 100+ experts for Washington at Packers >>

Overview

This is not a tough Washington offense to figure out. The formula is simple, run the football. Dwayne Haskins has not looked good at quarterback, but he also has nobody to pass to, aside from fellow rookie Terry McLaurin. But in a game where Haskins completed just 52 percent of his passes for 147 yards, Washington got the road win last week over the Carolina Panthers thanks to solid defense on Christian McCaffrey and a terrific performance from their two running backs. Derrius Guice has looked solid in his return from injury, running for 129 yards and two touchdowns on 10 carries last week. The veteran Adrian Peterson had a solid day himself, running for 99 yards and a score on 13 carries. Look for a similar offensive approach this week, as Washington does whatever they can to keep Aaron Rodgers off the field.

Green Bay has been an inconsistent team on offense this season. They want to run the ball first and set up play-action shots. But when the run does not work, that puts a lot of pressure on the passing game, and Aaron Rodgers has his work cut out for him with this receiving group. Davante Adams continues to be terrific, but Marquez Valdes-Scantling loses more and more snaps each week, Geronimo Allison disappears when he is on the field, and Jimmy Graham cannot run (or catch). Allen Lazard has gone from practice squad to second receiving option, which is good for him, but it’s not saying much. Defensively, the Packers struggle to stop the run, surrendering 4.7 yards per carry which is the fifth-most in the league. They also have an obvious weak link in the secondary, with Kevin King giving up 790 yards through the air (most in NFL). The defense needs to return to form if the Packers hope to do anything come playoff time.

Trends

  • The total has hit the under in five of the last six games when Washington has played the Packers in Green Bay.
  • The total has hit the over in four of the last five games played between Washington and Green Bay.
  • Green Bay is 5-1 straight up in its last six games at home.
  • Green Bay is 5-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games when playing at home against Washington.
  • Green Bay leads the all-time series with Washington, 20-16-1.
  • Last Meeting: September 23, 2018 — Washington defeated Green Bay, 31-17, at FedExField.

Prop Bet

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

First Quarter Touchdown: Yes (-260)
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers continue to be tough to beat at Lambeau Field, owning a 5-1 record at home this season. While there have been some questions with this offense overall, there have been zero questions about their starts at home, with them scoring a first-quarter touchdown in all six home games. Meanwhile, the Green Bay defense has given up a first-quarter touchdown in each of the past three games, opening the door for Dwayne Haskins and Derrius Guice to find early success for Washington.

Bottom Line

While the Packers should win this game at home straight up, 13 points is a lot to cover, especially for a defense that has really struggled against the run. Behind the strong play of Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson, who is very familiar with playing at Lambeau, Washington should be able to finish within 13, even if it’s a backdoor cover.

Pick: Washington Redskins +13

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Zach Brunner is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Zach, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyFlurry.

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