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Conflicting over/under trends in the Red Sox-Astros Game 2

by Mike Spector | Astros Correspondent |
Sat, Oct 16th 8:05am EDT

The over is 4-0 in Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi’s last four starts as an underdog, while the under is 4-0 in Houston Astros starter Luis Garcia’s previous four starts as a home favorite. The under is also 5-0-1 in Garcia’s last six starts against teams from the A.L. East.

Betting Impact:

The over/under for today's game 2 is 8.5 runs, per BettingPros consensus odds. The Boston Red Sox have proven to be a resilient bunch this postseason. Many wrote off Boston after their 5-0 loss to the Rays in Game 1 of the ALDS, but they reeled off three consecutive wins and outscored Tampa Bay 26-15 en route to an ALCS berth. The Red Sox will not be an intimidated bunch in Game 2, knowing that they had a lot of chances to break Game 1 open and have their best pitcher all year on the mound today. That being said, Houston’s offense, especially at home, is a force to be reckoned with and is the biggest reason they are worthy favorites this afternoon. The Astros became the fourth team in postseason history to score five or more runs in their first five playoff games. And they will not be intimidated by Eovaldi, against whom current Astros hitters have a combined .329 batting average and .582 slugging percentage. Jose Altuve has homered three times in 22 at-bats against Eovaldi, while Yordan Alvarez, Alex Bregman, Martin Maldonado, Kyle Tucker, and Carlos Correia all have better than a .300 batting average against the Red Sox ace. In addition to Altuve’s and Correia’s great numbers against Eovaldi, they set a Major League record yesterday for the number of times they have homered in the same playoff game by a pair of infielders on the same team.

Game: BOS at HOU Sat Oct 16th, 4:20pm ET | Categories: Trends, Line Movements