Based on the early betting splits at pregame.com, the Chicago Cubs are popular favorites against the Cincinnati Reds in tonight's rubber match of a three-game series.
The Cubs are slight -121 moneyline favorites, per BettingPros consensus odds. Per pregame.com, Chicago's moneyline odds have attracted 72% of the bets and 70% of the money. The Cubs have lost four of Kyle Hendricks' last five starts at Wrigley Field, and his WHIP, OBA, and ERA are all worse at home than on the road this year. Meanwhile, Cincinnati's Graham Ashcraft (4-1, 3.27) looks like a star in the making and impressively beat the Giants twice this year. Ashcraft is hard to elevate, evidenced by his 1.35 GB/FB ratio, and his 34.8% hard-hit percentage is well below league average.