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Nationals look to get back to winning ways against the Marlins

by Mike Spector | Nationals Correspondent |
Tue, Sep 14th 7:56am EDT

The Washington Nationals have owned the Miami Marlins at home of late. They are 39-14 in their last 53 home games against the Marlins, despite getting shut out in last night’s series opener.

Betting Impact:

The Nationals are -155 moneyline favorites tonight, per BettingPros consensus odds. Miami’s Jesus Luzardo (5-7, 6.72) is 1-3 with a 9.31 ERA in six away appearances (three starts this year). In fact, Luzardo’s 8.76 ERA on the road since the start of last season is the highest among starting pitchers with at least 100 innings pitched. His previous six appearances have come at home in the friendly confines of Marlins Park but will be in for a rude awakening in tonight’s rare road start. Though Washington is just 4-14 in their last 18 home games, they should welcome Miami’s lefty with open arms. Washington leads the majors with a .807 team OPS (entering Monday), and their team .272 batting average against lefties ranks second. Washington counters with Erick Fedde (6-9, 5.31), who has allowed just one earned run in 12.1 combined innings (two starts) against the Marlins this year. Unlike most starting pitchers, Fedde has been tougher as the game has gone on. He ranks third among starting pitchers with at least 18 innings pitched with a .216 slugging percentage allowed in late innings since the start of 2019.

Game: MIA at WSH Tue Sep 14th, 7:05pm ET | Categories: Line Movements, Trends