The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves have split the first two games of their current four-game series and now enter tonight with identical 20-23 records.
The Braves are -150 moneyline favorites, per BettingPros consensus odds. Philadelphia's Ranger Suarez (4-2, 4.12) has the best record of any pitcher on the Phillies staff yet is way behind Aaron Nola, Zack Wheeler, and Kyle Gibson in almost every other metric. Suarez has the worst WAR (0.4), K/9 rate (7.55), BB/9 rate (3.43), FIP (4.30), and xFIP (3.99) of all Philadelphia starters. He has been fortunate to pitch to a 4.12 ERA through eight starts, considering his 74.5% LOB percentage is also the worst among the rotation. Since the calendar turned to May, Charlie Morton has the second-best ERA (3.27), FIP (3.20), and K/9 rate (9.00) of any of Atlanta’s starters. He has also done an excellent job keeping the ball in the yard, allowing just one home run (4.3% HR/FB ratio) in his last five outings. Atlanta is 8-6 against left-handed staring pitchers while Philadelphia is 12-18 against righties.