BettingPros users 3/1 on the Chiefs over the Raiders
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Kansas City Chiefs’ point spread has received the majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the Las Vegas Raiders... View More
Betting Impact:
The Chiefs are -7 point favorites, and that number has received 72% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 51 is slightly less split, as the Over has attracted 69% of the bets. In addition, 87% of the bets are backing Kansas City’s -335 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users nearly 50/50 on Bengals-Ravens matchup
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the point spread for the Week 5 matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens has drawn good two-way action... View More
Betting Impact:
The Ravens are -3.5 point favorites, and that number has received 59% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 48 is much more divided, as the Over has attracted 84% of the bets. In addition, 53% of the bets are backing Baltimore's -175 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
Bengals-Ravens O/U ticks down a point
The point spread for the Week 5 matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens has ticked down a full point... View More
Betting Impact:
After opening at 48.5, the Bengals-Ravens O/U has been bet down to 47.5. This was one of the last totals to move, but is a surprising move considering the two teams combined for 58 and 62 points in their two regular season meetings last year.
Categories: Line Movements
Bengals-Ravens point spread moves off the key number
The point spread for the Week 5 matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens has made a significant line move in that it is no longer on a key number... View More
Betting Impact:
The Ravens have been bet up from -3 to -3.5. This was the last of all Week 5’s point spreads to move, so it was not until later in the week that Ravens steam picked up and moved this line off the key number of -3.
Categories: Line Movements
BettingPros users nearly 2/1 on the Eagles over the Cardinals
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Philadelphia Eagles’ point spread has received the slight majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the Arizona Cardinals... View More
Betting Impact:
The Eagles are -5 point favorites, and that number has received 62% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 48.5 is equally divided, as the Over has attracted 62% of the bets. In addition, 82% of the bets are backing Philadelphia’s -225 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users 2/1 on the Cowboys over the Rams
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Dallas Cowboys’ point spread has received the majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the Los Angeles Rams... View More
Betting Impact:
The Cowboys are +5.5 point underdogs, and that number has received 64% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 43 is similarly divided, as the Under has attracted 67% of the bets. In addition, 52% of the bets are backing L.A.’s -240 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users 3/1 on the 49ers over the Panthers
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the San Francisco 49ers’ point spread has received the majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the Carolina Panthers... View More
Betting Impact:
The 49ers are -6.5 point favorites, and that number has received 72% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 39 is less split, as the Over has attracted 62% of the bets. In addition, 92% of the bets are backing San Francisco’s -275 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users 2/1 on the Jaguars over the Texans
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Jacksonville Jaguars’ point spread has received the majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the Houston Texans... View More
Betting Impact:
The Jaguars are -7 point favorites, and that number has received 64% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 43.5 is much more divided, as the Over has attracted 81% of the bets. In addition, 85% of the bets are backing Jacksonville’s -320 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users 4/1 on the Titans over the Commanders
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Tennessee Titans’ point spread has received the overwhelming majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the Washington Commanders... View More
Betting Impact:
The Titans are -1.5 point favorites, and that number has received 82% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 43 is equally split, as the Over has attracted 82% of the bets. In addition, 87% of the bets are backing Tennessee's -130 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
Falcons-Buccaneers point spread drawing good two-way action among BettingPros users and experts
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the point spread for the Week 5 matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers has drawn good two-way action... View More
Betting Impact:
The Buccaneers are -10 point favorites, and that number has received 57% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 46.5 is much more divided, as the Under has attracted 82% of the bets. In addition, 98% of the bets are backing Tampa Bay’s -435 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users 2/1 on the Dolphins over the Jets
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Miami Dolphins’ point spread has received the majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the New York Jets... View More
Betting Impact:
The Dolphins are -3 point favorites, and that number has received 66% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 46 is less split, as the Under has attracted 56% of the bets. In addition, 70% of the bets are backing Miami's -175 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
Seahawks are a popular underdog against the Saints among BettingPros users and experts
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Seattle Seahawks’ point spread has received the majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the New Orleans Saints... View More
Betting Impact:
The Seahawks are +5.5 point underdogs, and that number has received 74% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 46.5 is slightly less split, as the Under has attracted 77% of the bets. In addition, 62% of the bets are backing Seattle's +192 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
Lions are a popular underdog against the Patriots among BettingPros users and experts
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Detroit Lions’ point spread has received the majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the New England Patriots... View More
Betting Impact:
The Lions are +3.5 point underdogs, and that number has received 67% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 45.5 is slightly less split, as the Over has attracted 61% of the bets. In addition, 55% of the bets are backing Detroit's +145 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users nearly 3/1 on the Vikings over the Bears
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Minnesota Vikings’ point spread has received the majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the Chicago Bears... View More
Betting Impact:
The Vikings are -7.5 point favorites, and that number has received 70% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 44 is even more split, as the Under has attracted 76% of the bets. In addition, 90% of the bets are backing Minnesota's -350 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users nearly 2/1 on the Chargers over the Browns
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the Los Angeles Chargers’ point spread has received the slight majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the Cleveland Browns... View More
Betting Impact:
The Chargers are -2.5 point favorites, and that number has received 63% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 47.5 is slightly less split, as the Over has attracted 58% of the bets. In addition, 75% of the bets are backing Los Angeles's -135 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users nearly 50/50 on Steelers-Bills matchup
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the point spread for the Week 5 matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Buffalo Bills has drawn good two-way action... View More
Betting Impact:
The Bills are -14 point favorites, and that number has received 54% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 46.5 is similarly split, as the Under has attracted 58% of the bets. In addition, 94% of the bets are backing Buffalo's -900 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
BettingPros users give slight to the Giants over the Packers
According to BettingPros’ betting splits, the New York Giants’ point spread has received the slight majority of the betting action for their Week 5 matchup with the Green Bay Packers... View More
Betting Impact:
The Giants are +8 point underdogs, and that number has received 61% of the bets from our experts and users. The O/U of 41 is even more split, as the Over has attracted 72% of the bets. In addition, 83% of the bets are backing Green Bay's -360 moneyline odds.
Categories: Public Betting
Raiders and Chiefs bring over streak into their Week 5 matchup
The over has cashed in each of the last four meetings between the Las Vegas Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs... View More
Betting Impact:
The Raiders-Chiefs O/U for their Week 5 matchup is 51 points. Despite this over streak, the under has cashed in 11 of the last 14 meetings between these teams in Kansas City. The under has also cashed in six of Las Vegas' last seven games following a SU win.
Categories: Trends
Chiefs look for continued ATS home success against the Raiders
The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against the Las Vegas Raiders... View More
Betting Impact:
The Chiefs are -7 point favorites in their Week 5 matchup. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall between these teams, and the home team has covered eight of the last 11. Las Vegas is just 1-5 ATS in its last six road games.
Categories: Trends
Chiefs look for continued success at home when facing the Raiders
The Kansas City Chiefs are 9-1 SU in their last ten home games, and they look to improve that record in Week 5 against the Las Vegas Raiders... View More
Betting Impact:
The Chiefs are -323 moneyline favorites. The Chiefs are 13-2 SU in their last 15 meetings with the Raiders, but this is still a division game, and Las Vegas won in Arrowhead 40-32 in 2020. The Raiders rushed for 212 yards against Denver, and Kansas City has been known not to have the best run defense. The Chiefs won last year's two regular season meetings against the Raiders by a combined score of 89-23.
Categories: Trends
Bengals bring under streak into matchup with the Ravens
The under has cashed in each of the Cincinnati Bengals' last nine games, and they bring that under streak into their Week 5 matchup with the Baltimore Ravens... View More
Betting Impact:
The Bengals-Ravens O/U is 48.5 points. Baltimore scored on its first four possessions against Buffalo last week (2 TDs, 2 FGs). Joe Burrow and the Bengals torched Baltimore last year, scoring 41 points in each of their two regular season victories over the Ravens.
Categories: Trends
Bengals look to continue cover streak as underdogs against the Ravens
The Cincinnati Bengals are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as underdogs, and they look for a seventh straight cover as underdogs in Week 5 against the Baltimore Ravens... View More
Betting Impact:
The Bengals are +3 point underdogs. The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Baltimore, and the favorite has covered in four of the last five meetings overall between these teams. Baltimore is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU loss.
Categories: Trends
ML trend supports the Bengals over the Ravens
The road team has won the last six games the Baltimore Ravens have played, which is a trend that supports the Cincinnati Bengals on the road in Week 5... View More
Betting Impact:
The Ravens are -170 moneyline favorites. Cincinnati dominated the two meetings with Baltimore last year, winning the two matchups by scores of 41-17 and 41-21. Baltimore has trailed for a total of 14 seconds in its two losses this season.
Categories: Trends
Cardinals bring under streak into matchup with the Eagles
The under is 3-0 in the Arizona Cardinals' last three games overall, and they bring that under streak into their Week 5 matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles... View More
Betting Impact:
The Eagles-Cardinals O/U is 48.5 points. The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these teams. Philadelphia became the second team in the Super Bowl era with 20+ first half points in their first four games of the season, while Arizona has outscored opponents 49-13 in the fourth quarter this season.
Categories: Trends
Cardinals look to reverse poor ATS home streak against the Eagles
Not only have the Arizona Cardinals lost seven consecutive home games, they have failed to cover the spread in all seven as well. They look to end both streaks in Week 5 against the Philadelphia Eagles... View More
Betting Impact:
The Cardinals are +5 point underdogs. Arizona has covered in five straight home meetings with Philadelphia, and seven of the last eight meetings overall. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five October games.
Categories: Trends
ML trend supports the Eagles against the Cardinals
The favorite is 10-0 SU in the Philadelphia Eagles' last ten games, which is a trend that supports them as road favorites against the Arizona Cardinals... View More
Betting Impact:
The Eagles are -230 moneyline favorites. Philadelphia is the only unbeaten team left in the NFL, while Arizona is aiming to end a seven-game home losing streak. Philadelphia has never won at State Farm Stadium. These two teams last met in Week 15 of 2020, a 33-26 Cardinals win.
Categories: Trends
Rams bring under streak into Week 5 matchup with the Cowboys
The under is 5-1 in the Los Angeles Rams' last six games, and they bring that under streak into their Week 5 matchup with the Dallas Cowboys... View More
Betting Impact:
The Cowboys-Rams O/U is 43 points (down from 45.5). The over has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these teams. Dallas has held its first four opponents to 19 points or fewer for the first time since 1973.
Categories: Trends
Cowboys look for continued ATS road success when facing the Rams
The Dallas Cowboys are 9-1 ATS in their last ten road games, and look to continue that impressive ATS streak in Week 5 against the Los Angeles Rams... View More
Betting Impact:
The Cowboys are +5.5 point road underdogs. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams, and the home team has covered the spread in seven of the last nine. Los Angeles is just 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.
Categories: Trends
Cowboys look to extend winning streak as small underdogs when facing the Rams
The Dallas Cowboys are 4-0 SU in their last four games as +3.5 to +7 point underdogs, which is a trend that applies this week as +5.5 point underdogs against the Los Angeles Rams... View More
Betting Impact:
The Cowboys are +195 moneyline favorites. Dallas' Cooper Rush is 4-0 as a starting quarterback, and has won all three of his starts this season in relief of the injured Dak Prescott. These two teams last met in Week 1 of 2020, a 20-17 Rams win.
Categories: Trends
49ers bring under streak into matchup with the Panthers
The under is 7-0 in the San Francisco 49ers' last seven games, and they bring that under streak into their Week 5 matchup with the Carolina Panthers... View More
Betting Impact:
The 49ers-Panthers O/U is 39 points. The under is 5-2 in San Francisco's last seven October games, and has cashed in five of Carolina's last six against NFC opponents.
Categories: Trends
Panthers look for rare ATS cover against the 49ers
The Carolina Panthers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games, and look to reverse that poor ATS trend when facing the San Francisco 49ers in Week 5... View More
Betting Impact:
The Panthers are +6.5 point home underdogs. The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Carolina, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings overall. However, San Francisco has covered seven of its last eight games against NFC opponents.
Categories: Trends
Panthers look for rare home win in Week 5 against the 49ers
The Carolina Panthers are 1-8 SU in their last nine home games, and look to improve that poor record in Week 5 against the San Francisco 49ers. mlb.. View More
Betting Impact:
The 49ers are -265 moneyline favorites. Carolina is off to its worst start (1-3) since 2016, while San Francisco is coming off its seventh consecutive regular season win against the Rams. These two teams last met in Week 8 of 2019, a 51-13 49ers win.
Categories: Trends
Jaguars bring home under streak into matchup with the Texans
The under is 5-1 in the Jacksonville Jaguars' last six home games, and they bring that home under streak into their Week 5 matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars... View More
Betting Impact:
The Texans-Jaguars O/U is 43.5 points. The over has cashed in five of the last seven meetings in Jacksonville between these teams. However, the under is 7-2 in Houston's last nine road games.
Categories: Trends
ATS trend points to the Texans in Week 5 against the Jaguars
Underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last six games played between AFC South rivals, which supports the underdog Houston Texans in Week 5 against the Jacksonville Jaguars... View More
Betting Impact:
The Texans are +7 point underdogs. The Texans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games in Jacksonville, and are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings overall. Jacksonville has covered the spread in just three of its last 12 games.
Categories: Trends
Texans look to end October losing streak when facing the Jaguars
The Houston Texans are 0-8 SU in their last eight October games, and look to end that losing streak in Week 5 against the Jacksonville Jaguars... View More
Betting Impact:
The Jaguars are -335 moneyline favorites. Houston is winless through four games for the fourth time in franchise history, but has won each of the last five meetings against Jacksonville, averaging a 15-point margin of victory in last year's two meetings.
Categories: Trends
Commanders bring home under streak into matchup with the Titans
The under is 6-0 in the Washington Commanders' last six games as home underdogs, and they bring that streak into their Week 5 matchup with the Tennessee Titans... View More
Betting Impact:
The Titans-Commanders O/U is 43 points (up from 42.5). The over has cashed in each of Tennessee's last six road games against teams with a losing home record, while the under is 14-3 in Washington's last 17 games in October.
Categories: Trends
Titans look to reverse poor ATS road streak when facing the Commanders
The Tennessee Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, and they look to reverse that poor streak in Week 5 against the Washington Commanders... View More
Betting Impact:
The Titans are -1.5 point road favorites (down from -2.5). The road team and underdog are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams. Tennessee has covered the spread in five consecutive October games, while Washington has failed to cover each of its last five in October.
Categories: Trends
ML trend supports the Commanders against the Titans
Underdogs are 4-1 SU in the Tennessee Titans' last five games, and that trend supports the Washington Commanders as home underdogs in the Week 5 matchup... View More
Betting Impact:
The Commanders are +110 moneyline underdogs. Tennessee is coming off its fourth straight win versus the Colts for the first time in franchise history, while Washington has allowed 28.3 PPG during its current three-game losing streak. These two teams last met in Week 16 of 2018, a 25-16 Titans win.
Categories: Trends
Falcons bring unbeaten ATS streak into Week 5 matchup with the Buccaneers
The Atlanta Falcons are 4-0 ATS this season, and bring that unbeaten ATS streak into their Week 5 matchup with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers... View More
Betting Impact:
The Buccaneers are -10 point favorites (up from -8.5). Atlanta has covered the spread in one of its last five trips to Tampa, while the home team is 7-3 ATS in the previous ten meetings overall between these teams. The Buccaneers are 2-2 ATS this season.
Categories: Trends
Falcons and Buccaneers bring over streak into Week 5 matchup
The over is 7-1 in the last eight games between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, including cashing in each of the last four in Tampa... View More
Betting Impact:
The Falcons-Buccaneers O/U in Week 5 is 46 points (down from 47.5). The over is 4-1 in Atlanta's last five games, while the under is 7-1 in Tampa Bay's last eight games following a SU loss.
Categories: Trends
Buccaneers look to end losing streak as home favorites when facing the Falcons
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost three straight games as home favorites, and look to end that losing streak in Week 5 against the Atlanta Falcons... View More
Betting Impact:
The Buccaneers are -455 moneyline favorites, making them the second-biggest favorite of the week. Atlanta is off to its best start (2-2) since 2017, but Tom Brady is 9-0 in his career against the Falcons. Tampa Bay as won four straight games in this rivalry, with just one of those wins coming by single digits.
Categories: Trends, Line Movements
Eagles-Cardinals spread and total reach lowest numbers of the week
Both the point spread and O/U for the Week 5 matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Arizona Cardinals have reached their lowest numbers of the week... View More
Betting Impact:
The Eagles opened as -6 point favorites and were initially bet down to -5.5, but have since fell further to -5 point favorites. In addition, the total is down from an opening number of 49.5 to 48.5, after making a stop at 49 along the way. There has yet to be buyback on either number at this point.
Categories: Line Movements
Cowboys rule Prescott (thumb) out for Week 5 against the Rams
There were rumblings early in the week that Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott might be able to beat his original timeline for how long he would be ruled out with a thumb injury and be activated this week. However, the team has announced he will miss the Week 5 matchup against the Los Angeles Rams... View More
Betting Impact:
Dallas' Cooper Rush is 3-0 as a starter this year with four touchdowns and no interceptions. He also has posted a 95-plus passer rating in each of his three starts, and has led the team to a No. 7 rank in offensive efficiency in Weeks 2-4. However, the Rams were still bet back up from a low of -4.5 to -5.5.
Categories: Injuries
49ers-Panthers O/U returns to original number
The O/U for the Week 5 matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Carolina Panthers has returned to its original number after being bet down a half point earlier in the week... View More
Betting Impact:
The 49ers-Panthers O/U opened at 39 and was briefly bet down to 38.5 before returning to its original number of 39. The fact that there was buyback on the over when the number dropped to 38.5 suggests that is the lowest the total will go again before kickoff. San Francisco is allowing a league-best 11.5 PPG.
Categories: Line Movements
Texans-Jaguars O/U reaches lowest number of the week
The total for the Week 5 matchup between the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars has reached its lowest number of the week after another half-point decline... View More
Betting Impact:
The Texans-Jaguars O/U opened at 44 and teetered between 44.5 and 44 for the first couple of days of the week. However, it has now reached its lowest number of 43.5, suggesting under backers made their presence felt a lot more than over backers who initially bet the number up to 44.5.
Categories: Line Movements, Trends
Titans-Commanders O/U ticks back up after a brief decline
The O/U for the Week 5 matchup between the Tennessee Titans and Washington Commanders has ticked up and down in half-point intervals all week... View More
Betting Impact:
The Titans-Commanders O/U opened at 42.5 and was bet up to 43. It was then bet back to 42.5 and has since reached 43 once again. Given the teetering that this line has endured, it is unlikely we see this total swing drastically in one direction or another, and will likely kick off with a total of either 42.5 or 43 come Sunday afternoon.
Categories: Line Movements
Titans- Commanders point spread ticks down a full point
The point spread for the Week 5 matchup between the Tennessee Titans and Washington Commanders has been bet down a point in support of the home underdogs... View More
Betting Impact:
The Titans have ticked down from -2.5 to -1.5 point favorites. Given that the first movement went in the direction of the underdogs, this spread is more likely to move closer to a pick'em than it is to reach the key number of -3.
Categories: Line Movements
Brady (shoulder) expected to play Sunday vs. the Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady missed practice on Wednesday, but says his injured shoulder "feels great" and will not keep him from playing Sunday against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers... View More
Betting Impact:
The opening line of Buccaneers -8.5 suggested that Brady was never in doubt of missing the game. However, after his latest assurance he feels fine, Tampa Bay's point spread has skyrocketed to -10, though the total is down to 46 (from an opening number of 47.5).
Categories: Injuries
Falcons-Buccaneers spread reaches highest number, while the total reaches the lowest number of the week
Both the point spread and O/U for the Week 5 matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have made significant changes over the last 24 hours... View More
Betting Impact:
The point spread has done nothing but move in Tampa Bay's favor, increasing from an opening number of -8.5, and making brief stops at -9 and -9.5 before settling in at -10. Conversely, the total has reached its lowest number of the week. The O/U opened at 47.5 and was briefly bet up to 48, before plummeting to 46.
Categories: Line Movements
Dolphins-Jets spread and O/U both increase
The point spread and the total for the Week 5 matchup between the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets have both increased in the last 24 hours... View More
Betting Impact:
The Dolphins have been bet up from -3 to -3.5, and the total has increased from an opening number of 43.5 to 46. With Tua Tagovailoa already ruled out earlier in the week, early bettors seemingly have confidence in Teddy Bridgewater, who went 5-0 as a starter for the New Orleans Saints years ago when Drew Brees was injured.
Categories: Line Movements
Saints' Kamara (ribs) expected to play against the Seahawks
The New Orleans Saints expect to have running back Alvin Kamara (ribs) available to play in Week 5 against the Seattle Seahawks... View More
Betting Impact:
Kamara suffered the injury in the season opener, and he has missed games in Week 2 and Week 4. His potential availability has caused the Saints to be bet up to -6 (opened -5), and the O/U is up to 45.5 (opened at 42.5), but that number is still lower than the high of 46 it reached earlier in the week.
Categories: Injuries
Lions' Swift (shoulder) likely out for Week 5 against the Patriots
The Detroit Lions' D'Andre Swift is trending towards being out for the team's Week 5 matchup with the New England Patriots... View More
Betting Impact:
Detroit has a bye week next week, so the team is likely being cautious with its stud running back, giving him an extra week to get healthy. Swift's negative injury report seemed to have a direct impact on the game line, as the Patriots have moved from -3 to -3.5 (opened -2.5), and the total has been bet down from an opening number of 47 to 45.5.
Categories: Injuries
Bears-Vikings spread moves off the key number
The point spread for the Week 5 matchup between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings has made a significant line move since it no longer falls on a key number... View More
Betting Impact:
The Vikings have been bet up from -7 to -7.5 point home favorites. Minnesota is off to its best start (3-1) since 2016, so early bettors are clearly buying the Vikings and expecting them to win convincingly over the offensively-challenged Bears.
Categories: Line Movements
Chargers-Browns spread ticks down a full point
The point spread for the Week 5 matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and Cleveland Browns has been bet down a full point in support of the home underdogs... View More
Betting Impact:
The Chargers have been bet down from -3 to -2 point road favorites. The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Browns' last nine games, so early bettors are in support of that trend, expecting Cleveland to have ATS success against Los Angeles.
Categories: Line Movements
Steelers-Bills O/U ticks down a full point
The O/U for the Week 5 matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Buffalo Bills has been bet down a full point from its opening number... View More
Betting Impact:
After opening at 47 points, the Steelers-Bills O/U has been bet down to 46. Fifteen of Pittsburgh's previous 16 road games in October have gone under the projected total, so early bettors are supporting that trend, as well as the fact that these teams combined for 39 points in last year's 23-16 Steelers win in Buffalo in Week 1.
Categories: Line Movements
Steelers-Bills spread ticks up a half point
The point spread for the Week 5 matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Buffalo Bills has been bet up a half point... View More
Betting Impact:
The Bills have been bet up from -14 to -14.5. This was one of the last point spreads to move throughout the week, but the move is significant since the spread no longer falls on the key number of -14. Thus, early bettors do not have a lot of faith in Steelers rookie Kenny Pickett in his first NFL start.
Categories: Line Movements
Giants-Packers spread and total each tick down a half point
The point spread and total for the Week 5 matchup between the New York Giants and Green Bay Packers have ticked down a half point in the last 24 hours... View More
Betting Impact:
The Packers opened as -7.5 point favorites and were bet as high as -8.5, but have since settled back at -8. There is growing optimism that New York's Daniel Jones will be healthy enough to play, which could be leading to the buyback on the Giants. In addition, the total has been bet down from 41 to 40.5, which is the first time the total has moved this week.
Categories: Line Movements
Mets jump from -140 to -150 against the Padres
The New York Mets have been bet up from -140 to -150 moneyline favorites in Game 1 of the Wild Card round against the San Diego Padres... View More
Betting Impact:
The Mets are just 3-5 in Max Scherzer's (11-5, 2.29) previous eight starts, but the team has provided him with just six total runs of support in those losses. However, New York has played much better than San Diego against elite competition, going 45-37 (.549) against teams over .500, while the Padres were 38-44 (.463). Though the Mets scored just seven total runs in their most meaningful series to this point in Atlanta last weekend, that should not overshadow the fact that they finished fourth in wRC+ and sixth in wOBA. Those numbers are even better against right-handed pitchers like Yu Darvish (16-8, 3.10), who the Mets will face in Game 1, as they finished second and third in wRC+ and wOBA, respectively. Darvish won six of seven starts to end the regular season, but his road ERA (3.50) is almost an entire run higher than his home ERA (2.60).
Categories: Line Movements, Trends
Mariners look for continued success against the Blue Jays
The Seattle Mariners went 5-2 head-to-head in the regular season against the Toronto Blue Jays, and look to continue that success on the road in Game 1 of the Wild Card round... View More
Betting Impact:
The Blue Jays are -130 moneyline favorites. Alek Manoah (16-7, 2.24) is 12-4 with a 2.38 ERA in 24 career starts at the Rogers Centre. He enters the playoffs on fire, as his 0.88 ERA in September was the lowest ERA by a pitcher (minimum five starts) in any month in team history. In addition, his 2.24 ERA to end the regular season is the second-lowest in franchise history. As hot as Manoah is, Toronto's offense is equally in a groove, as it ranks second in wRC+ and wOBA over the last 30 days. Seattle's Luis Castillo (8-6, 2.99) was acquired from Cincinnati for big moments like this, and he has allowed one earned run in his last 26 innings against teams with a winning record. However, just one of those four starts came on the road.
Categories: Trends, Line Movements
Phillies-Cardinals matchup is a virtual pick'em
Game 1 of the Wild Card round series between the Philadelphia Phillies and St. Louis Cardinals is a virtual pick'em, as each team has -110 moneyline odds... View More
Betting Impact:
The pitching matchup is between Zack Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA) and Jose Quintana (6-7, 2.93). Wheeler finished the regular season with a .632 winning percentage, which is tied for the highest of his career (excluding the 2020 shortened season). Wheeler spent a month on the IL with forearm tendinitis before making three starts since September 21. Quintana was acquired from the Pirates for situations like this, as Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol trusts the veteran southpaw to take the mound in Game 1. Since coming over from Pittsburgh, Quintana has posted a 2.01 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and a 3:1 K:BB ratio in 12 starts for St. Louis. Though he has averaged just over five innings over his last seven starts (38 total IP), Quintana has dropped just one decision while pitching to a minuscule 1.18 ERA.
Categories: Line Movements, Trends