News updates from Scott Bogman
Ole Miss is a 1.5 favorite against Baylor in the Sugar Bowl, the line has only moved a half-point since opening at 2. The O/U has moved up to 55, 2 points more than the 53 it opened at. Ole Miss QB Matt Corral, who is expected to be a 1st round pick in the NFL draft, has said he is going to play in this game... View More
Both of these teams have been great ATS, Baylor was 9-4 while Ole Miss was 7-4-1. Mississippi had such high lines that they were only hit the over in 3 of 12 games, Baylor was split with hitting the over in 6 of 13 games. The slight majority is on Ole Miss and the Under so far
This line moved a half-point right before this post as Ohio State HC Ryan Day said that WR Garrett Wilson, WR Chris Olave, OL Nicholas Petit-Friere and DL Haskell Garrett have all opted out to prepare for the NFL Draft this morning. The O/U in this one is 66 right now but may drop with 3 Ohio State Offensive Players opting out... View More
Ohio State and the Over have been the cash plays so far but that may change after the Ohio State Opt outs.
Notre Dame is a 2.5 favorite against OK State for the Fiesta Bowl. The O/U is 45.5.. View More
The majority of cash is coming in on Notre Dame even with NFL prospects S Kyle Hamilton and RB Kyren Williams opting out. Notre Dame is 9-3-1 ATS this season while OK State is 9-3-1 The Under is getting the love as far as cash goes right now as well, this season Notre Dame has played to the Under in 6/12 games and OK State has hit the under in 8/13 games
The O/U has climbed 2 points over the last 3 weeks after starting at 43 and moving to 45.. View More
No surprise that this line is low as these are the #1 (Georgia - 9.5) and #4 (Michigan - 16.1) scoring defenses this season. The public is on the under in this game at just over 2/3s cash taking the under.
This line hasn't moved at all the last 3 weeks even when QB JT Daniels and WR George Pickens entered COVID protocols last week... View More
Over 2/3 of cash is on the Wolverines so far in this game which explains why the line didn't move, most were already on the underdogs. Michigan was an FBS best 11-2 ATS this season while Georgia was 8-5.
This line hasn't moved a lot after opening at 58 and only moving down a half-point the last 3 weeks... View More
The O/U betting has been on the Over but not by a large percentage. Alabama has one more game played to the Over this season at 7-6 while Cincy is 6-7 so these teams combined to be an even .500 on O/Us in 2021.
Just 5 days away from the big playoff matchup now and the Crimson Tide are 13.5 point favorites in the Cotton Bowl against the Bearcats... View More
The betting public is leaning hard on Bama minus the points so far. Alabama was an impressive 12-1 on the season but only 7-6 ATS while Cincy was 13-0 on the season and 8-5 ATS.
USC is a 4.5 favorite and the O/U is 57.5, this game was rescheduled for this weekend due to a COVID outbreak for Cal early last month.. View More
Cal is getting love from the public in this game and the over is getting hammered pretty hard. Cal is 6-5 ATS this season, USC is 4-7. USC has hit the over in 7 of 11 games this year, Cal is 5 of 11 in playing to the over.
Oklahoma State is now a 5.5 point favorite in the Big 12 Championship and the O/U is still 46.5.. View More
Baylor and the Over are getting a slight majority of the money. On their current 5 game win streak, OK State has won every game except last weeks matchup against Oklahoma by at least 21 points and beat Baylor by 10 in their matchup on October 2nd. Baylor has a 3 game win streak and are 8-4 ATS this season. OK State has played to the under 7 of 11 times this year and Baylor is even at 6 Overs hit and 6 unders hit
After opening up as a 2.5 point favorite the line has moved to 3.5 in favor of the Hilltoppers and the O/U has dropped from 73.5 to 72.5.. View More
The lines moving are in line with the public money, WKU and the Over are the public betting favorites. WKU is 6-1 ATS since their loss to UTSA on October 9th. UTSA is 3-3 ATS since that meeting and had their first loss of the season last week against North Texas. UTSA hasn't hit that total since the game against WKU, WKU has hit it only once, last week against Marshall in a 53-21 win
Cal is a 4 point favorite at home, the O/U is 57.5.. View More
This is the last game of the season for both of these teams as neither will be bowl eligible. Cal is getting the overwhelming majority of the public money early
by Scott Bogman
| Steelers Correspondent | Fri, Aug 19th 2:16pm EDT
Pitt is the favorite for the ACC Championship in North Carolina by a Field Goal, the O/U is 72.5.. View More
The early money is on Pitt and the Over so far. These teams rank 3rd (Wake) and 4th (Pitt) in scoring offense so most seem to be expecting a shootout
The Aztecs are 5.5 favorites and the O/U is 50.. View More
The early money is on San Diego State at home, no info available on the O/U this early
Kent State opens up as the 2.5 point favorite in Detroit against Northern Illinois for the MAC Championship. The O/U is 73.5.. View More
Kent State won this game at home on November 3rd 52-47, the early money is on Northern Illinois and the Under
OK State is a 5 point favorite against Baylor in the BIG 12 Championship in Dallas against Baylor, the O/U is 46.5.. View More
These teams plated on October 2nd and OK State was the winner 24-14 at home. Baylor and the Over are getting the majority of the public love early.
The Hilltoppers are 1 point favorites in the C-USA championship on the road against UTSA, the Over is 71.5.. View More
These teams played in Week 6 in Kentucky and UTSA won 52-46. WKU is likely favored due to UTSA dropping their first game last week to North Texas. Early Betting is heavily on WKU and the Over
BYU is giving 20 points to Georgia Southern and the O/U is sitting at 57.5.. View More
BYU only has one win of 20 points or more (against FCS Idaho State) but Georgia Southern has lost by 20 four times this season against FAU, Arkansas, South Alabama, and Coastal Carolina. BYU and Georgia Southern have gone over the 57.5 total 6/20 times this season. 3/4 of the public money is on the Cougars and over 95% is banking on the over
NC State is an 11.5 home favorite and the O/U is 50.5 for the game against Syracuse on Saturday.. View More
Syracuse is tied for the best ATS record on the year at 8-2, the public is on Syracuse getting the points here even though they lost ATS last week, 41-3 to Louisville, for the first time since Week 2 when they lost 17-7 to Rutgers.
by Scott Bogman
| Bengals Correspondent | Fri, Aug 19th 2:16pm EDT
The line has moved slightly towards the Mustangs in this AAC matchup lowering one point to Cincy -10.5 and the O/U is 65... View More
The cash is split almost 50/50 with the slightest of edges to SMU and overwhelmingly on the Under. Both teams are 5-5 on the O/U and 1 game over .500 ATS so trends aren't leaning one way or the other. Cincinnati is 4-1 all-time against SMU
The Aztecs are 3 point home favorites against the Wolf Pack and the O/U is 45.5.. View More
The OVERWHELMING majority of the tickets are on the over in this game. Nevada has only played once to a total this low in 2021 and that was week 1 against Cal. SDSU has gone over this total in 5 of 9 games too. Public money is also heavily on Nevada in this one.
The Ducks are 14 point home favorites against the Cougars. The O/U is 57.5.. View More
The public loves the Cougars and the Under in this game. Oregon is one of the best teams in the country but they have been rough ATS this season at 3-6 while Washington State is 6-3. Combined these teams have only hit the over in 6 of 18 games so far this season.
Fresno State are huge 24.5 favorites at home against New Mexico, the O/U is 51.. View More
There isn't a ton of action on this game but the majority of tickets are on the Bulldogs as the Lobos are actually worse ATS (1-8) than they are straight up (3-6).
The Aggies are 2.5 point favorites on the road against Ole Miss, the over is 57.5... View More
There isn't a lot of faith in Ole Miss at home as the majority of the cash is on the Aggies. However, the public is a little split on the O/U, more tickets are on the over but there is a very slight cash lean on the Under.
Yes that wasn't a typo, Bama is a massive 51.5 favorite against NMST. The over is only 15.5 points more at 67... View More
With a line this big it's no surprise that more money is one the New Mexico State side, only slightly though. There is a much higher percentage of cash on the under in this one. Both teams have played to 1 more over than under in their 9 games.
Iowa is a 4.5 point favorite against Minnesota and the over is 37.5.. View More
The betting trend is on the Gophers ATS and the Over with the total so low. Iowa will most likely be starting backup QB Alex Padilla. These teams are a combined 6-12 when playing to the over.
by Scott Bogman
| Titans Correspondent | Fri, Aug 19th 2:16pm EDT
This line has been pretty even the whole week with Kentucky as a 1 point favorite, the O/U is 56..5.. View More
Strangely the tickets are on the Kentucky side slightly but the money is well in favor of Tennessee against the spread. Almost all the cash has been coming in on the Over.
SMU is favored by 4.5 points and the O/U is a big 70.5.. View More
This one is a bit strange as SMU is winning in tickets but cash favors the Tigers ATS. The under is also even on tickets but getting hammered with cash
by Scott Bogman
| Steelers Correspondent | Fri, Aug 19th 2:16pm EDT
The line is Pitt by 21 and the O/U is 64.. View More
The OVERWHELMING majority of cash is laying the points for Pitt this week as Duke has lost 4 in a row and 3 of those by 31 or more points
Matt Corral did not practice on Monday due to an ankle injury. Corral was able to come back in and finish the game last Saturday so I would expect him to play in this game but we should know more closer to game time.. View More
The line has held fairly steady at 9.5 this week so the injury has been accounted for in this line. It should only move if we hear definitive word that he will miss this game
The Rebs are favored by 9.5 with the O/U at 66.5. This game could decide who the first QB off the board is in the NFL Draft.. View More
Cash is split pretty evenly on both the spread and O/U for this game with the slightest of leans toward the unders
The expectation is A LOT of offense in this one with the O/U at 76.5 and slowly climbing over the week. UNC is favored by 2.5 at home even though Wake Forest is 8-0,.. View More
Cash is coming in pretty hard on the under in this one because of the massive line. These teams sit at 8-8 combined on O/Us so no help there. Cash is pretty even with a slight lean to the Deamon Deacons
Ronnie Rivers was cleared to practice after being forced to leave Saturday's game against Nevada with a lower leg injury... View More
This hasn't seemed to have moved the line much at all as SDSU opened as a .5 point favorite and the line is only up to 1.
The Aztecs are 1 point home favorites against Fresno State, the O/U is 44.5. Something has to break here as SDSU is 5-2 ATS and Fresno State is 5-3, both teams combined to play to the Under in 8 of 15 games... View More
Fresno State has the slight cash lean ATS but the Over is a heavy cash-favorite by the public
SMU is getting 1 point on the road against Houston. The O/U is 62. SMU is 5-2 ATS and Houston is 4-3 and these teams combine to be 7-7 playing towards the Over.. View More
While the track records are close the betting is not, about 3/4 of the money is on SMU for both the Spread and O/U.
by Scott Bogman
| Browns Correspondent | Fri, Aug 19th 2:16pm EDT
The Tigers are 9.5 point favorites against the Seminoles and the O/U is 47.5. Clemson has not won a game ATS this season sitting at 0-7, FSU is 3-4. These teams have played to the under in 10/14 games so far this season... View More
Clemson being one of only 2 teams yet to win a game ATS has the public on Florida State ATS. The Under is getting quite as much love as FSU but the majority of the cash has been played towards it.
Dan Mullen said he 'won't get into strategy' when asked about the starting QB for Florida this weekend. Emory Jones started last week but Anthony Richardson finished for the Gators. Kirby Smart had a similar answer of 'They both look pretty good' when asked about the QB situation for Georgia. Stetson Bennett has been playing for the teams Opening starter JT Daniels since Week 1.. View More
The QB news hasn't seemed to impact the line much at all as it has been between 14.5 and 14 for the entire week and the O/U hasn't moved much either.
Georgia is a 14 point favorite for The Cocktail Party and the O/U is 51. Georgia is undefeated in actual record but 5-2 ATS, Florida is 3-4 ATS. Georgia and Florida have both played to the Under 4 of 7 times... View More
The Bulldogs are getting the majority of the action on the spread but the O/U has a very slight lean towards the Over in cash
The Cowboys are 30.5 point favorites against Kansas. The O/U is 54.5. OK State is 5-2 ATS, Kansas is 1-6. OK State is 1-5-1 playing to the Over and Kansas is 4-3.. View More
Betting has a slight lean towards the Cowboys at just over 50% and the Over is getting the majority of cash in this game.
Ohio State is officially -21 on the road against Indiana now and the O/U has dropped from 60 to 58.5.. View More
The public has a slight lean towards the Over in this one but is overwhelmingly on the Hoosiers as far as cash goes.
BYU is laying 2 more points and the line is now BYU -4.5, the O/U also moved up by 1 point to 56.5.. View More
Cash is leaning slightly towards BYU ATS but the public LOVES the under on this one. Washington State recently fired HC Nick Rolovich due to Washington State vaccine mandates and DC Jake Dickert has taken over as interim HC. The betting public doesn't think it will amount to a lot of points this week, the Cougars are 87th in scoring offense so far this season (25.7 PPG) and BYU is 80th (26.7).
The O/U has dropped by 1 point so far from 67.5 to 66.5, the line hasn't moved and is steady at OU -38.5.. View More
The betting public has decided that this line is too big to trust the Sooners and the overwhelming majority of cash is on the Jayhawks. If the line does move before kickoff I would expect it to be towards Kansas with them getting the bulk of the cash.
The Buckeyes are 20 point favorites and the O/U is 60.. View More
The Buckeyes have won every game since the loss to Oregon by 21 points and every game has gone over 60 points. Indiana has gone over 60 only 3 times this year and only lost by 20 once to Penn State. The overwhelming majority of money this early is on OSU
#16 Wake Forest are 3 point road favorites against Army, the O/U is 52.. View More
Army has lost 2 in a row after starting 4-0, WF is 6-0 and coming off a by week. WF and the Under are getting bet on early
BYU is a 2.5 point favorite on the road against Washington State in the Cougar Bowl. The O/U is 55.5.. View More
Public betting is on BYU and HEAVILY on the Under so far. BYU has lost 2 in a row and Washington State has won 3 straight
Kansas is getting 38.5 at home against Oklahoma, the over is 67.5.. View More
The only team the Sooners have beat by this margin is Western Carolina, Kansas has been beaten only once by that margin by Iowa State. The majority of the public mone has been placed on OU so far.
The #21 ranked undefeated Mustangs are 13.5 point favorites for the Thursday night contest against Tulane, the O/U is 70.. View More
The line hasn't moved yet but the majority of the money is on SMU so it might open up a little bit
UGA is 22.5 point home favorite against #11 ranked Kentucky, the O/U is 44.5.. View More
The only game that UGA hasn't won by 23 or more is the Week 1 10-3 win over Clemson.
The Tigers #1 WR Boutte is out for the season with a leg injury. Boutte 38-508-9 have been 29% of the Tigers pass yards and 53% of the passing TDs for them this season.. View More
The under is trending HEAVILY and this is most likely a huge contributing factor
This line hasn't moved much during the week at all, Florida is -11.5 and the O/U is 59.5.. View More
Florida is getting the overwhelming majority of the money from bettors so far, surprisingly the Under is getting hammered as well.
The Longhorns are -5 at home and the O/U is 60. Texas is 4-2 ATS and has played to 4 Overs in 6 games. OK State is 3-2 ATS and has played to 4 Unders in 5 games... View More
The overwhelming majority of the money is coming in on OK State as this is a 'let down' spot after an emotional loss to the Sooners last week and OK State is coming off a Bye Week
The Aztecs are 9.5 road favorites against SJSU, the O/U is 41.. View More
The betting public is heavy on the #24 ranked San Diego State Aztecs. The SJSU offense hasn't been the same since Nick Starkel went down on September 25th and he is questionable to play this week.
Virginia Tech is a 1 point underdog at home against 14th ranked Notre Dame. The O/U is 47.. View More
The betting public is slightly on Tech as a home dog. VA Tech is 2-1 ATS, ND is 2-3.
Michigan State opened as a 5 point road favorite against Rutgers and the line hasn't budged. The O/U has come up to 51 after opening at 50.5 so there hasn't been a lot of movement.. View More
Last week was Rutgers first ATS loss this season but the betting public is banking on this being another one. The Over is the early betting favorite by a decent margin
Ohio State are a 21 point favorite against against Maryland and the O/U is 69.5.. View More
After Maryland's 6 INT performance in Week 5 and Ohio State putting up 3 dominate wins in a row after the Oregon loss the betting public is in favor of the Buckeyes.
Florida was upset by Kentucky last week but they are still 38 point favorites against Vanderbilt this week, the over is 59.. View More
The betting so far is heavy on Florida coming off the loss and overwhelmingly on the Over
UNC has gained a point since this line opened and are 17.5 point favorites over FSU. The O/U also has moved by 1 point towards the over at 64.5.. View More
Even though the lines have become bigger the opposite side of both have more money on them slightly at this point in the week, FSU plus the points and the Under
Coach Chadwell said that starting QB Grayson McCall sitting in the 2nd half (and wearing a walking boot) was precautionary and he will be good to go for the game on Thursday against Arkansas State.. View More
The line is still way in Coastal Carolina's favor at CC -19.5 and the betting is trending their way
The Spartans are double-digit home favorites against WKU and the O/U is 64.5.. View More
The line opened up at over 2 TDs for Michigan State but quickly moved down after Nebraska took the Spartans to OT. The public is on the Spartans big time and favors the Under
Iowa State opened as a 32.5 favorite and it's opened up to 34.5. The O/U is 56.5 and has moved down by 2 points after opening at 54.5.. View More
Iowa State has only scored over 34 points in one game against UNLV, however Kansas has only held a team to under 34 points once. The public is on Iowa State and the Under
The line has moved towards the Wildcats in this one by 1 point after opening at 8.5. The O/U is 55.5.. View More
Florida and the Over are being bet by the public in this one. Historically the games in Lexington have been closer than the games in Gainesville. Florida won by 8 in 2019, the last double-digit victory Florida had in Lexington was in 2013.