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NFL Expert Consensus Picks

Win Totals

23 experts predicted win totals for the 2021 NFL season. We compiled these expert predictions to create expert consensus over/under picks.
AFC
NFC

AFC North

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
10.1 11 10.5 -118 -102 Under 10.5 (68%)
5.4 4 6 -106 -113 Under 6 (55%)
11.3 11 10.5 -117 -104 Over 10.5 (77%)
9.3 12 8 -104 -117 Over 8 (82%)

AFC East

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
12.0 13 11.5 -119 -102 Over 11.5 (73%)
9.1 10 9.5 -118 101 Under 9.5 (59%)
9.5 7 9 -102 -117 Over 9 (64%)
5.0 2 4.5 -109 -112 Over 4.5 (59%)

AFC South

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
2.5 4 4.5 107 -125 Under 4.5 (100%)
8.9 11 7.5 -101 -117 Over 7.5 (91%)
4.7 1 5 -113 -105 Under 5 (45%)
10.4 11 9.5 -120 102 Over 9.5 (77%)

AFC West

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
8.0 5 10 -104 -115 Under 10 (86%)
12.9 14 12 -105 -114 Over 12 (68%)
7.3 8 8.5 -117 -103 Under 8.5 (86%)
9.6 7 9.5 -119 101 Under 9.5 (55%)

NFC North

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
7.0 8 7 -106 -114 Push
3.5 5 4 -103 -119 Push
11.7 13 10.5 -104 -112 Over 10.5 (95%)
8.6 7 8 -119 -101 Over 8 (68%)

NFC East

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
9.3 6 9.5 -112 -106 Over 9.5 (52%)
5.9 6 5.5 -130 108 Over 5.5 (55%)
6.5 4 7 -130 108 Under 7 (45%)
9.0 7 7.5 -109 -109 Over 7.5 (86%)

NFC South

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
5.5 4 6.5 -128 107 Under 6.5 (73%)
7.5 5 8 -129 106 Under 8 (59%)
8.7 12 9.5 -117 -104 Under 9.5 (73%)
12.7 11 12 -127 106 Over 12 (61%)

NFC West

Team Projected Wins 2020 Wins 2021 O/U Wins Over Under Expert Consensus Pick
8.3 8 10 102 -125 Under 10 (86%)
9.2 12 9.5 -125 105 Under 9.5 (55%)
10.5 6 11.5 110 -133 Under 11.5 (77%)
11.2 10 11 -106 -114 Push