2022 Monaco F1 Grand Prix: Odds, Bets, Picks & Predictions
The Monaco Grand Prix has run through Monte Carlo since 1929. One part of the Triple Crown of Motorsports, Monaco is Formula One’s most prestigious event of the year. The 3.3-kilometer (2.1 mile) circuit features tight hairpin turns along narrow city streets. Veteran Mercedes driver Lewis Hamilton owns the fastest lap on its current configuration at 1:12.909, which he ran in a losing effort last season.
Red Bull driver Max Verstappen won the 2021 Monaco Grand Prix, ahead of Ferrari driver Carlos Sainz and McLaren driver Lando Norris. Ferrari driver Charles Leclerc, who grew up in Monaco, had won the pole for the event but then crashed out during Saturday’s qualifying session.
Leclerc’s speed, both here last year and earlier this season, has made him the early favorite to win the 2022 Monaco Grand Prix. Value exists outside of the outright markets, too.
Check out the rest of our Memorial Day Weekend motorsports coverage >>
Odds to Win the Monaco GP
Best Bets for the Monaco GP
Max Verstappen Podium (-270 (1.35u) via FanDuel Sportsbook)
I am betting on Charles Leclerc to win Sunday's Grand Prix, but Verstappen should still finish respectably—or win if Leclerc crashes out again. The odds for this line aren't friendly, but they're better than the -300 you'll find at DraftKings. Verstappen is four-for-six on podiums this season and Red Bull Racing clearly favors him over teammate Sergio Perez, so he'll benefit from any team orders during the race. Let's wager enough to win back a half-unit return.
Free Practice 1: Sergio Perez (-120 via DraftKings Sportsbook) vs. Lewis Hamilton
The full-race matchups haven't been released yet, so we're stuck with a practice matchup. But the best way to handle Hamilton this weekend is to fade him, and this is where we'll start. Red Bull's Sergio Perez ranked fifth through Barcelona's third sector in last weekend's qualifying, and he had a 0.36-second advantage over the veteran. Perez didn't practice in the first session in Barcelona, but he ranked fourth after the first practice session in Miami, while Hamilton ranked eighth.
I recommend that you fade Hamilton on most full-race matchup markets this weekend. I'll revisit this article to include a bet for the full race once those lines get posted.
Race Winner: Charles Leclerc (+100 at BetMGM)
We'll bet on Leclerc to break the curse and get his first Monaco victory. Leclerc won two of the first three races of this season before a disappointing sixth-place result at Imola. He then finished second in Miami before retiring in Barcelona.
Leclerc's performance on street circuits is encouraging. He finished second in Saudi Arabia, first in Australia, and second in Miami. He lost both races to Max Verstappen, the next most-favored driver, but Monaco's especially slow corners lend themselves better to Ferrari than Red Bull.
Ferrari's best lap, which Leclerc ran, was 0.08 seconds faster than Red Bull's in Barcelona's final sector during qualifying. That isn't a huge gap, but it's a meaningful one since almost all of Monaco's corners will force drivers to slow down significantly. Verstappen has proven more here—he won last year's race, after all—but only three drivers have won at Monaco in consecutive years since Ayrton Senna's last win in 1993: Michael Schumacher, Fernando Alonso, and Nico Rosberg.
Join the BettingPros Discord Chat for Live Betting Advice >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced strategy — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.