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2023 NASCAR Futures: Season Win Totals Bets & Picks

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With the Busch Light Clash at the Coliseum now in the rearview, we’ve officially entered the lame-duck week of the NASCAR season. There’s no racing this weekend as the sport prepares for its Super Bowl, the Daytona 500.

We split the difference in L.A., going 1-1 with our best bets. While fading Martin Turex Jr. against Kevin Harvick didn’t pay off, hitting the Kyle Busch top-3 (+250) leaves us sitting at +1.5 units ahead of the regular season.

To help scratch the itch until the racing world heads to Florida, I’ll disclose my favorite future bets in the season win-total market.

2023 NASCAR Futures: Season Win Totals

(Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook)

Bubba Wallace OVER .5 Wins (-155)

Run, don’t walk to the book to jump on the over for Bubba Wallace’s season win total. Now in his seventh season in the Cup Series and third with 23XI Racing, Wallace continues to improve year over year. His stats from 2021 to 2022 show just that:

  • 2021: three top-5s, three top-10s, zero poles, 62 laps led, 19.7 average finish, one win
  • 2022: five top-5s, 10 top-10s, one pole, 150 laps led, 18.3 average finish, one win

In addition, Wallace had some bad luck, posting a 20% DNF rate, often due to mechanical failures. Yes, he missed a race due to a deserving suspension, but he still finished fewer races than all other full-time Toyota drivers – largely due to things outside of his control. Another year older is another year wiser for Wallace. I’m betting on him having at least one win for the third-straight season, and I could even see him double-dip in the category.

Tyler Reddick OVER 1.5 Wins (-155)

I’m also backing the newest addition to the 23XI Racing team, Tyler Reddick. Reddick enters his fourth full-time season and has already entered the elite conversation within the cup series. He finished with 10 top-5 finishes (eighth-most amongst drivers), meaning he’s up at the front, competing for wins regularly.

In addition, he had three poles (tied for fourth-most amongst drivers), which will help give him an early advantage on road courses and short tracks. Reddick also paced within the top-10 drivers in key metric areas like top-10 finishes (15) and laps lead (503).

We don’t need to overthink this one. Reddick moved from Richard Childress Racing, where he was the sixth-eighth-best Chevy (depending on how you view Alex Bowman and former teammate Austin Dillon), to 23XI, where he’ll be considered the third or fourth-best Toyota. Reddick had three wins last season. I think he easily gets two this year in upgraded equipment and with certainty about his future.

 

Seth Woolcock is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more sports betting and fantasy sports analysis with a hint of feel-good lifestyle advice from Seth, check out In-Between Media and follow him @Between_SethFF.