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2023 NCAA Tournament First Four Same Game Parlay Picks: Tuesday

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March Madness tips off on Tuesday night, as the First Four games begin. Let’s take a look at our top two same game parlays for tonight’s 2023 NCAA Tournament action.

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March Madness First Four Same Game Parlay Bets

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Texas A&M-CC vs. Southeast Missouri State

Over 159.5 Points

Each of these two teams ranks in the top 35 nationally in points per game. The Islanders are 24th averaging 78.3 per contest, and the Redhawks are 35th, averaging 77.2. While both teams are very good offensively, both are very bad defensively. The Islanders allow 72.9 points per game, while the Redhawks allow 77.7. That ranks 338th out of the 363 qualifying teams.

This is the first game of the NCAA Tournament so there could be some jitters, but the Islanders got to play in this game last season, and that experience is sure to carry them through the early moments of this game. Once nerves clear up, expect both of these teams to start scoring at a very high rate.

Chris Harris 25+ Points

Harris is the second leading scorer for the Redhawks behind Phillip Russell. However, Harris was the go-to player in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. He scored 25 or more points twice, including in the championship game against Tennessee Tech. Harris ended the season with at least 20 points in three consecutive games, and that trend should continue tonight.

With this game expected to be very high-scoring, there is a lot of value in taking Harris at this number which is offering very favorable odds.

Trevian Tennyson Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made

If Tennyson doesn’t hit at least three three-pointers in this game, it will be truly shocking. He’s just 3-14 in his last three games, but prior to that stretch, he was shooting the ball at a very high rate. For the season, he is shooting 41.2% from deep, and he averages 2.9 made three-pointers per game.

The Redhawks are not a good three-point defending team, which is going to give Tennyson plenty of chances to score from deep. With how high-scoring this game is going to be, expect Tennyson to potentially hit as many as five three-pointers. That’s something he has accomplished seven times already this year.

Parlay Odds: +1200

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh

Leg 1 – Under 132.5

Both of these teams leave a lot to be desired on the offensive side of the ball, with Mississippi State coming in as the 263rd ranked offense in terms of 2PT% and dead last in the entire county in 3PT%. Pitt’s offense is slightly more efficient, but they still rank in the bottom half of the country in both of the aforementioned categories. Both teams are pretty stout defensively, however, both ranking in the top 1/3 in college basketball in field goal percentage allowed both from inside and beyond the arc. Neither team works exceptionally fast, either, as both teams rank below 200th in terms of possessions per game. I expect this to be a very slow-paced game with points and possessions coming at a premium, keeping this game under the point total.

Leg 2 – Mississippi State ML

The point spread has moved roughly 2 points since the opener to now have Mississippi State as a 2.5 point favorite, and I think the line movement tells you all you need to know about this matchup. The Bulldogs started the season 11-0 and played in a much tougher conference than the Panthers, racking up some impressive wins both inside and outside of their conference against the likes of Marquette and TCU. Mississippi State should be able to gain extra possessions on the offensive glass in this matchup, a category where they rank in the top half of the country and Pittsburg ranks 275th in offensive rebounds allowed. I will take the more battle-tested and tougher team in Mississippi State to advance to the round of 64.

Leg 3 – Dashawn Davis 1+ Threes Made

On a team that struggles mightily to knock down shots from the perimeter, Davis is by far their most reliable option. He has shot the 3 at just below a 35% clip on the season, and puts up an average of 3-4 attempts per game. He’s averaging the 2nd most minutes played for this Bulldogs squad, so there should be plenty of opportunity for him to get his shots up. I like Davis to knock down at least one 3 pointer in this matchup, and the fact that Mississippi State has an advantage on the offensive boards will only help his chances.

Parlay Odds: +370

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