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2023 NCAA Tournament First Four Same Game Parlay Picks: Wednesday (3/15)

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March Madness is officially here! The 2023 NCAA Tournament Bracket has been announced, and the teams are lining up for the Big Dance. Let’s take a look at our Same Game Prlay picks.

Also, take a look at our other best bets for Wednesday:

2023 March Madness First Four Same Game Parlay Picks

Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Texas Southern: Best Same Game Parlay Picks

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 (-110)

The Tigers have been on this court each of the last two seasons, so they should be the more confident team entering this one. However, the Knights are simply the more talented team. It makes sense that in a game featuring such average teams that the team who has been there before would be favored, however, the Tigers have 14 wins this season.

The Knights had a solid regular season, and they finished second in the NEC. Perhaps many do not believe in them because they didn’t actually win the NEC Tournament, losing in the final to ineligible Merrimack College. If Merrimack was in this game, they would be favored. The Knights lost to them by one, so they should be favored as well.

Under 147 Points (-105)

The Knights are a top-50 scoring team in the country, but as we saw last night in the game between the Islanders and the Redhawks, these teams tend to come out a little tight on the biggest stage they’ve ever played on. In their three First Four wins, the Tigers have seen final totals of 110, 112, and 143.

Even going up against a high-scoring offense in last season’s First Four didn’t produce an Over. The Knights are a good scoring team, but these teams are going to see sluggish starts that will keep this total in the high 130s.

Demetre Roberts Over 3.5 Assists (+100)

It’s surprising to see this number as low as it is, considering Roberts is averaging 4.3 assists per game this season. Going up against a weak defensive team, you would think this would be listed at four or 4.5. Perhaps oddsmakers are expecting the Knights to struggle to score the ball.

Roberts has at least five assists in his last three games, and he had 17 total in the Knights’ NEC Tournament run. He barely ever comes off the floor, and the Tigers are allowing an average of 11.9 assists per game. He should continue to have the same numbers Wednesday night as he showed in his conference tournament.

Parlay Odds: +645

Nevada vs. Arizona State: Same Game Parlay Picks

All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

Leg 1 – Under 133.5 (-115)

Both of these teams rank in the top 50 in KenPom in terms of defensive efficiency, and Nevada ranks 234th in the country in possessions per game. Additionally, Arizona State really struggles to find efficiency on the offensive end, ranking below 290th in the country in both 2PT and 3PT field goal percentages. With the added nerves of playing on primetime in a neutral stadium with a chance to advance to the Round of 64, I expect this to be a lower-scoring game than the total indicates.

Leg 2 – Darrion Williams Over 7.5 Rebounds (-130)

Williams is the leading rebounder for the Wolf Pack, averaging just under 7.5 boards per game. Arizona State is one of the worst rebounding teams in the country, ranking 345th and 346th in offensive and defensive rebounds allowed, respectively. Combining this with the fact that Arizona State shoots field goals and free throws at a low percentage should give Williams plenty of opportunity to eclipse this number with ease.

Leg 3 – Desmond Cambridge Jr. 15+ Points (-155)

Cambridge is Arizona State’s leading scorer and has stepped up for the Sun Devils in their biggest games this year – scoring 19 against Creighton, 20 against Michigan, 19 in their road win against Arizona, and a recent 27-point performance against USC in the PAC-12 tournament. Interestingly, Cambridge transferred to Arizona State after spending his previous 3 seasons at Nevada, so he will have even more motivation to perform well in this matchup. I think his teammates will look to get him the ball early and often, propelling him to get at least 15 points against his former team in this revenge spot.

Parlay Odds: +444

Round 1 Betting Picks & Predictions

South

East

West

Midwest

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