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2023 Honda Classic: Best Longshot Picks & Predictions

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With the 2023 The Genesis Invitational in the rearview mirror, we now look forward to this week’s The Honda Classic in Florida. The Champion Course at PGA National will host this tournament once again, which it has done annually since 2007.

PGA National is a par-70, 7,125-yard track that benefits strong iron players. Looking at the top of previous leaderboards, the two metrics that predict the most success at this course are SG: Tee to Green and Greens in Regulation percentage (GIR%).

Below, I will give out my two best longshot bets to win The Honda Classic.

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2023 The Honda Classic: Best Longshot Picks & Predictions

These plays are 0.3u and 0.2u, or 0.3% and 0.2% of your betting bankroll.

Hayden Buckley (+6000 via DraftKings Sportsbook): 0.3u

The first golfer we are targeting this week is Hayden Buckley, who sits at 60/1 via DraftKings Sportsbook. Starting off his sophomore campaign in tremendous form, Buckley currently sits 25th in the FedEx Cup Standings.

Making seven of his last nine cuts entering this week, Buckley looks to stay hot in Florida. Of those seven made cuts, he boasts four top-20 finishes, including his T5 finish at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP and his second-place finish at the Sony Open in Hawaii.

Knocking on the door of his first victory on TOUR, PGA National could be the spot where it happens. A strong iron player, Buckley ranks 11th on TOUR in GIR% and 43rd in SG: Tee to Green.

During his rookie campaign last season, Buckley missed the cut at The Honda Classic, which is part of the reason why he sits at 80/1. However, just like Keith Mitchell in 2019, it is entirely possible to utilize that experience and win the tournament after missing the cut in your first appearance the year prior.

Dylan Frittelli (+13000 via DraftKings Sportsbook): 0.2u

Another golfer we are targeting this week is Dylan Frittelli, who sits at 130/1 via DraftKings Sportsbook. While Frittelli enters this week fresh off his missed cut at The Genesis Invitational, he looked incredibly sharp in his T14 finish at the WM Phoenix Open the week prior.

While his long driver certainly delivered in that tournament, his iron play was also dialed in as Frittelli finished inside the top-25 among the field in both GIR% and SG: Tee to Green. Can he replicate that performance at PGA National?

Considering that Frittelli finished 16th here last year and 11th in 2018, it is certainly possible. His approach game will have to be as sharp as it has ever been, but at 130/1, it is worth taking a flyer on Frittelli to grab his second career PGA TOUR victory against a watered-down field.

Other Outright Winner Play:

Best of luck!

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Tony Sartori is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tony, check out his archive and follow him @tony_sartori.