2023 US Open Odds, Picks & Predictions: Daniil Medvedev

by BettingPros Staff |
Aug 27, 2023

Amid the dominance of the "Big Three" in men's tennis between Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, and Rafael Nadal from the mid-2000's on, the US Open was always considered the most wide open of the four Grand Slams. Since 2009, six different men have claimed their first Grand Slam title at the US Open, with four of those (Juan Martin del Potro- 2009, Marin Cilic- 2014, Dominic Thiem- 2020, Daniil Medvedev- 2021) having their only major title coming from Flushing Meadows.

Carlos Alcaraz in 2022 made it three consecutive years where a first-time Grand Slam champion was crowned at the US Open, but some skeptics will say the door was opened much wider for him as Novak Djokovic was ineligible to participate because of his vaccination status. Thus, an aging Rafael Nadal was the only member of the "Big Three" in last year's event, as we got a glimpse of the future of men's tennis with Alcaraz, Frances Tiafoe, Casper Ruud, and Karen Khachanov all making the semifinals. The top two seeds in last year's event, Medvedev and Nadal, each lost in the fourth round and shockingly failed to make the quarterfinals.

With Djokovic back in the field, will this year's version of the US Open have more of a chalky feel, with an inevitable collision course between him and Alcaraz in the final? Or will a first-time Grand Slam winner capture the title for the fourth consecutive year?

2023 US Open Best Bets & Picks: Daniil Medvedev

Here is our betting outlook for 2023 US Open.

2023 US Open Betting Predictions

Hard court is easily Medvedev's best surface, as his 82% win rate at the US Open and 75% winning percentage at the Australian Open are his highest two at any major. Medvedev's four Grand Slam finals appearances have come on hard courts, and he has won four hard court titles this year at Miami, Rotterdam, Qatar, and Dubai. Eight of the previous ten US Open winners were ranked in the top four, which fits Medvedev given his No. 3 world ranking.

2023 US Open Betting Advice & Picks

If one is looking to take a flier on a winner other than Djokovic and Alcaraz, look no further than Medvedev, who has five wins against Djokovic, including a rare straight-set victory against him in the 2021 US Open final.

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