2024 Genesis Scottish Open: PGA Longshot Odds, Picks, & Predictions

by Matthew MacKay |
Jul 10, 2024

The first of two PGA Tour events in Scotland will occur at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland on Thursday morning. It’s a co-sanctioned event with the European DP World Tour, with Rory McIlroy returning as the defending champion.

McIlroy bested Scotland native Robert MacIntyre by one stroke at the 2023 Scottish Open, winning his debut at the event with an impressive final scorecard of 15-under-par. Xander Schauffele won at 7-under-par in 2022.

The links-style course comprises red fescue fairways and putting surfaces, with large average square footage on the greens and only 11.5 feet via Stimpmeter. Wide, undulating fairways and pot bunkers can create difficult lies, while the hole locations serve as the primary defense, depending on the coastal winds.

In this article, we're targeting three golfers with longshot odds to contend for the outright win at the Renaissance Club ahead of Thursday's early morning tee times in North Berwick, Scotland. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free bets and weekly analysis.

2024 Genesis Scottish Open: Best Longshot Bets

These plays are .25u and .10 u, or 0.25% and 0.10% of your betting bankroll. Odds used exclusively from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Byeong Hun An (+7000)

Byeong Hun An has enjoyed a highly productive season on the PGA Tour, logging five top-ten finishes and ranking 16th strokes gained: off-the-tee. An has found over 69 percent of greens in regulation, while sporting a 34th-ranked putting average.

Last year, An scorched Renaissance Club at 9-under-par in the opening round. He went on to go even par or lower in the final three rounds, sliding into a T3 finish at 10-under-par, while demonstrating his ability to hunt flagsticks and sink putts earlier in the week. At 70-1, a 0.25 unit investment is appropriate to stake on the 32-year-old South Korean golfer.

Tom Hoge (+8000)

After missing the cut at this event in 2022, Tom Hoge bounced back with a solid T19 finish in 2023. He’s among the best ballstrikers on the PGA Tour, ranked second SG: approaching the green, including 34th for green in regulation rate.

Hoge is seventh in hole proximity, which is huge for a course like Renaissance Club, while ranking 12th in putting average, fourth in birdie average, and top-ten in par 4 scoring average. At 80-1, Hoge’s game projects to fare well at this event, so one more 0.25 unit wager is sufficient to return 20 units of profit with an outright win.

Ewen Ferguson (+10000)

Ewen Ferguson is a golfer being shadowed by fellow Scot, Robert MacIntyre, ahead of Round 1. Ferguson went from a T61 in 2022 to a T12 finish in 2023 at Renaissance Club, starting off 4-under-par.

On the DP World Tour, Ferguson has amassed three wins, including most recently at the BMW International Open a month ago. Ranked 14th in driving accuracy rate, 24th for greens in regulation, and 18th for stroke average, the key to Ferguson’s success lies in elevating his performance with the putter.

A 0.10 unit wager yields 10 units of profit at 100-1, so let’s sprinkle on Ferguson accordingly.

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Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros & FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.

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