2024 PGA Championship: PGA Longshot Odds, Picks, & Predictions

The 2024 PGA Championship will get underway from Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky on Thursday. It marks the second of four majors played on the PGA Tour, with Scottie Scheffler dominating the first major held at Augusta National, winning his second green jacket at The Masters.

While there are plenty of stars to bet on at the 2024 PGA Championship, in this article, we’re focusing on a few golfers with much longer odds that could wind up contending and surprising us with an outright win at Valhalla this week. Each pick comes with plenty of analysis and we’re only risking a 0.25 unit stake or smaller on each of these longshots, to wind up with a massive profit in return.

Make sure to follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free bets and analysis throughout each week.

2024 PGA Championship: Best Longshot Bets

These plays are .25u and .10 u, or 0.25% and 0.10% of your betting bankroll. Odds used exclusively from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Will Zalatoris (+8000)

I’ve been a big backer on Will Zalatoris all season following his return from undergoing a successful back procedure in 2023. Zalatoris has only competed at two PGA Championship events in his young career, which included a playoff loss to Justin Thomas at Southern Hills C.C. in 2022. Ranked 21st strokes gained: approaching the green, the putter is Zalatoris’ biggest enemy.

We’ve still seen him record a pair of top-five finishes at Genesis and the Arnold Palmer Invitational this season, so at 80-1, a 0.25 unit wager is sufficient to bet on Zalatoris turning his recent slump around on a big stage at his third PGA Championship appearance.

Sepp Straka (+11000)

Austrian golfer, Sepp Straka, is coming off of his best finish at the PGA Championship at Oak Hill C.C. in 2023. Straka recorded a T7 finish at 2-under-par and he’s looked great for stretches at other events this season. In fact, during the last five three events he’s played, Straka has gone T5, T11, and T8, which doesn’t include a T16 at The Masters.

110-1 is great value considering Straka is one of the better players on the PGA Tour when it comes to strokes gained: off-the-tee. The Austrian ranks 31st in this metric, while also converting greens in regulation at a 67 percent rate, which is 47th on the PGA Tour. His driving accuracy is ranked third, which is crucial at Valhalla, as it’ll allow Straka to avoid errant lies in rough that is unforgiving. Let’s stake a 0.10 unit wager to return a little over 10 units with his first major win and third on the PGA Tour.

Stephan Jaeger (+15000)

The only golfer to stand in Scottie Scheffler’s way during his four-win stretch over the past five events played has been Stephan Jaeger. Yes, the German golfer benefitted from a 5-foot birdie putt miss from Scheffler on the 18th hole at the Houston Open, but he played welll down the stretch to give himself the chance to seize his first PGA Tour win.

Jaeger ranks 17th strokes gained: off-the-tee and 14th strokes gained: around the green. This means he’ll get good lies in the fairways and when he doesn’t hit greens in regulation, which he tends to do with sub-par ironplay, his short game compensates to scramble effectively. 150-1 is way too long of a price to ignore Jaeger, in my opinion, so let’s sprinkle one more 0.10 unit stake to wager Jaeger’s outside chances of contending for his second PGA Tour win and first major victory since joining the PGA Tour in 2018.

Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros & FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.