2024 Wyndham Championship: PGA Best Weekend Picks

Hurricane Debby’s arrival in Greensboro, North Carolina delayed the start of the 2024 Wyndham Championship, which is why we’re still waiting on the cut line to be enforced with the final few golfers finishing up Round 2 on Sunday morning.

The final regular season PGA Tour event, held at Sedgefield Country Club, has challenged some golfers, while others have yielded tons of birdies, either with strong iron play or hot putters. Only the top 70 in the FedExCup rankings qualify for the first FedExCup playoff event at TPC Southwind during the FedEx St. Jude Championship, so it’s go-time for all golfers ranked within 30 spots of the 70th-seed bubble.

Matt Kuchar, a nine-time PGA Tour winner, is currently in the lead at 12-under-par, pacing the field by one stroke thanks to ranking first in strokes gained: putting through two rounds. Kuchar has begun to heat up lately, carding a T3 finish at the 3M Open, but he’s still 113th in the FedExCup, so he’ll need an outright win or runner-up finish to jump into qualifying for the first of three playoff events.

Behind Kuchar is a logjam between lesser-known golfers, Chad Ramey and Max Greyserman, accompanied by Cameron Young, who wound up 8-under-par on Saturday to jump 49 spots up the leaderboard to T2. Young’s seven runner-up finishes loom large, especially since he’s still seeking his first PGA Tour win. Other notables near the top of the leaderboard include Aaron Rai (-10), Billy Horschel (-10), Patrick Rodgers (-9), Brendon Todd (-8), Davis Thompson (-8), Adam Hadwin (-8), and Keegan Bradley (-8).

I’ve found five golfers worth betting on in the outright winner market ahead of Sunday’s third and fourth-round marathon schedule, teeing off from Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free bets and weekly analysis.

2024 Wyndham Championship Best Weekend Picks

These plays are 1 unit, 0.50 unit, and 0.25 unit plays. Or one percent, half a percent, and a quarter percent of your betting bankroll. Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Cameron Young (+450)

This is a chalky bet since Cameron Young is now the co-favorite in the outright winner betting market at +450, however, Young’s game looked fantastic on Saturday. He’s ranked first in SG: off-the-tee, leaning on his powerful driver on a short track like Sedgefield to set him up for short approach shots.

Young is also eighth in SG: around-the-green, converting all seven scrambling attempts, while finding greens in regulation at an 80 percent rate. +450 may quickly jump to +125 or shorter if Young winds up between his Round 1 67 and Round 2 62 during Round 3. A one unit stake is recommended on Young to finally card his first PGA Tour win.

Matt Kuchar (+450)

Matt Kuchar is riding high with a one-stroke lead entering Round 3. The 46-year-old veteran knows what it takes to win and he’ll need every bit of effort to secure the outright win and qualify for the FedExCup St. Jude Championship next week.

Ranked first in SG: putting, Kuchar has made only one bogey compared to 13 birdies at Sedgefield this week. However, he’s 45th SG: approach and 89th SG: around-the-green, so if his putter cools off, we’re unlikely to see Kuchar sustain his current momentum. He’s accurate off-the-tee and has made 107 feet of putts, ranked sixth in the field this week, so Kuchar is a justified favorite at this +450 price. I’m only willing to stake half a unit on Kuchar, but it still returns 2.25 units of profit.

Billy Horschel (+600)

Billy Horschel’s red-hot Round 1 finish at 8-under-par did not manifest again on Saturday during Round 2. Horschel struggled with making several par putts inside of eight feet, which is normally among his strengths. The good news is that Horschel is ranked second SG: approach and has found 83 percent of greens in regulation, which bodes well for his outlook during the rest of the Wyndham Championship.

Horschel’s putter was great in Round 1, so hopefully, we’ll see a bit more juice on the greens in Round 3. Horschel is still ranked eighth in putts per GIR (1.63) so at +600, I consider this good value on one of the golfers who entered this week with the fourth shortest betting odds in the outright winner market at 22-1. Let’s stake one more half unit on Horschel to contend to grab three units of profit.

Aaron Rai (+750)

Aaron Rai’s summer continues to be stellar. The Englishman is among the best on the PGA Tour with his irons, and at Sedgefield, Rai ranks first in SG: approach. Back-to-back rounds of 5-under-par shows the consistency that a lot of others atop the leaderboard are missing.

Rai is T7 for driving accuracy, creating good lies off the tee, and has found a ridiculous 32 of 36 greens in regulation, leading the field with an 88.8 percent conversion rate. His putter needs to finish a bit stronger though, as he’s 30th or worse in putts per GIR and feet of putts made through two rounds. Tee-to-green, Rai is superb, but his short game does raise some concerns as he seeks his first PGA Tour win.

Rai’s current +750 price to win is worth one final half unit wager.

Patrick Rodgers (+2800)

We’re ending with a bit of a longshot at 28-1 with Patrick Rodgers. After a relatively slow start at 2-under-par, Rodgers went 7-under-par on Saturday, playing bogey-free. He’s ranked 12th SG: off-the-tee and 15th SG: putting, so Rodgers has a nice mix of accuracy in his bag to convert birdies in different ways.

Rodgers is also 7/8 scrambling and has found 77.7 percent of greens in regulation. However, his strokes gained on approach sit at 79th in the field, which has kept him from pacing with the top of the leaderboard. On the year, Rodgers ranks 133rd in this crucial metric, which is why oddsmakers are a bit bearish on Rodgers’ outlook to win right now.

We’re only staking a quarter (0.25) unit wager on Rodgers, but at 28-1, his current position at T8 (-9) is tempting enough to bite without a ton of risk involved. We’re getting seven units of profit if Rodgers goes on a run during the final two rounds, so it’s worth a small investment to jump aboard this price will it still exists.

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Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.