2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Longshot Odds, Picks, & Predictions

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am gets underway on Thursday from Pebble Beach, California, giving golf fans and sports bettors one of the most exciting events on the annual PGA Tour circuit. This is the second Signature Event of 2025, meaning a field of 80 golfers will compete without a cut-line for four rounds.

Pebble Beach Golf Links is played three times, while Spyglass Hill is going to be played once in either the first or second round. Both courses are stock par 72s that run less than 7,100 yards, with small Poa Annua greens and three-inch rough lining the fairways. Accuracy reigns supreme in this matchup, which is why past winners typically brandish elite ball-striking ability. In 2024, Wyndham Clark won despite only playing 54 holes due to dangerous weather conditions. The forecast is expected to be much calmer this weekend, and as the cherry on top, a slew of star PGA golfers return to the field, including Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jordan Spieth.

I’ve yet to find a longshot winner through the first handful of events played in 2025. In a Signature Event field, with only 80 golfers instead of 144, there’s a bit more probability to find a golfer in the 60-1 range or longer that will wind up contending for the outright win at Pebble Beach. Last week, Harris English’s win at the Farmers Insurance Open paid 100-1, so let’s find similar value in the outright winner betting market at Pebble Beach. Make sure to follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free bets and weekly PGA Tour analysis.

2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Best Longshot Bets

These plays are .25u, or 0.25% of your betting bankroll. All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

J.J. Spaun (+8000)

J.J. Spaun has one PGA Tour win at the Valero  Texas Open in 2022 but he’s playing quality golf to start 2025. Spaun has yet to fall outside of the top 3o in any of the three events he’s played thus far, including a T3 finish at the Sony Open.

The Californian rallied in tough conditions at Torrey Pines to log a T15 finish and ranks 27th in total strokes gained. This includes 12th SG: Approach and 25th total driving. Pebble Beach doesn’t require a hot putter, which is Spaun’s weakness, and he’s recorded a T16 finish at Pebble Beach in 2022. Let’s stake a 0.25 unit wager on Spaun to win at 80-1 odds this weekend with his accurate irons and quality driving off the tee.

Brian Harman (+17000)

Brian Harman available all the way down at 170-1 is a price that I cannot ignore. Harman’s ranked 40th for green in regulation conversion rate at 74.5 percent, 53rd in driving accuracy, and 32nd on approach shots further than 200 yards.

It’s been far from an ideal start in 2025, failing to record a top-20 finish through three events, including a missed cut at the American Express. Yet, we’ve seen Harman come through with huge odds at other events, including the 2023 British Open at 120-1. Harman hasn’t cracked a top-50 finish at Pebble Beach in either of his last two appearances but if his irons are dialed in, which we’ve seen in spurts, the Georgia native has a great chance to contend for his first Pebble Beach title.

Let’s stake one more quarter unit on Harman to grab over 40 units of profit if he runs the table and gets hot with his approach shots at Pebble Beach this weekend.

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Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.