2025 Sony Open Odds, Picks & Predictions: Best PGA Bets
The 2025 Sony Open is next up on the PGA Tour circuit this week, staying in Hawaii and relocating from Kapalua in Maui to Honolulu on Oahu. Unlike last week, which was reserved for 60 golfers during the first Signature Event of the 2025 PGA Tour season, this week’s field is full with 144 players competing at the 60th edition of the Sony Open. A cut line will be enforced after the first two rounds on this par 70 track at Waialae Country Club, recently renovated by Tom Doak.
Last week’s best bets at The Sentry targeted the outright winner betting market. Unfortunately, Hideki Matsuyama, who recorded a record-setting -35-under-par win, was not included among my three best bets. Collin Morikawa (+1100) came close, finishing -32-under-par and solo runner-up behind Matsuyama, failing to convert a couple of putts inside six feet to contend on the final few holes. Corey Conners (+2800) recorded a top-five finish after a hot start, while Akshay Bhatia (+3500) struggled during his debut at Kapalua, recording a T32 (-16) to round out my PGA best bets.
I’ve got three best bets for this week’s Sony Open event. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free bets and weekly analysis.
Sony Open: Best Bets
These plays are 1 unit, 0.50u, and 0.10 units. Or 1%, 0.50%, and 0.10% of your betting bankroll. Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.
Russell Henley (+2000)
Russell Henley has been consistently dominant at Waialae throughout his career. The Georgia native had a forgettable T30 finish at Kapalua last week, never going below 68 on a par 73 course that saw quite a few 65s or lower. Henley won this event during his debut back in 2013 and has logged finishes of T11/2nd/T32/T4 since 2021.
Henley’s game is well-suited for the short, precise demands of Waialae. The narrow doglegged fairways, minimal hazards, and short distance of this par 70 course favor accuracy over power. The putter is always a concern, however, as long as Henley is dialed in with his irons, he should remain in contention throughout the Sony Open at 20-1.
Let’s bet a unit on Henley to record his first win since the 2022 World Wide Technology Championship and second outright at Waialae, after losing to Hideki Matsuyama in a playoff here in 2022.
Maverick McNealy (+2800)
Maverick McNealy is coming off of a strong T8 finish at Kapalua during The Sentry, recording -9-under-par for his best round to surge into a top-ten finish. The Californian turned in a T57 finish at Waialae in 2024, a T7 finish in 2023, and a T27 finish in 2022.
McNealy has an excellent short game and showcased an improved ball-striking form at Kapalua last week. He finished fifth in SG: Off-the-Tee and SG: Approach the Green, ranking fourth in green in regulation conversion rate.
At 28-1, let’s bet half a unit on McNealy to transfer his momentum onto a much different course at Waialae, relying on his off-the-tee and ironplay to set up birdie opportunities on the Bermudagrass greens.
Austin Eckroat (+3500)
I liked what I saw from Austin Eckroat during his Kapalua debut, turning in a T15 finish and carding 5-under-par rounds or lower all four days during The Sentry. Eckroat won twice in 2024 and ranked 13th SG: approach, fifth SG: putting, and 13th in driving accuracy at a course where he lacked familiarity last week.
Now, Eckroat goes back to Waialae, where he finished T42 in 2024. He began -9-under-par during the first two rounds at the 2024 Sony Open but finished +1 during the weekend, falling out of contention. I expect a better effort from Eckroat this week and he’s a great ball-striker, with a seemingly improved putter.
It’s still Bermudagrass surfaces at Waialae this week, just like at Kapalua, so let’s place another 0.5 unit wager on Eckroat to win the Sony Open at +3500.
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