2025 U.S. Open Picks & Predictions: Best PGA Bets
The 2025 U.S. Open marks the third major of the PGA Tour calendar. The best golfers in the world will compete at Oakmont Country Club, a par 70 that has been labeled by several golfers in this field as the most difficult course to play.
No surprise, Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite ahead of Round 1 on Thursday. The World No. 1 is +280 to win outright after recording three wins in his past four events, including last month’s major during the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow Club.
Bryson DeChambeau will attempt to defend his 2024 U.S. Open win at Pinehurst No. 2. He’s the second betting favorite at +750, followed by Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm at +1200, Xander Schauffele at +2200 and Collin Morikawa at +2800.
My RBC Canadian Open Best PGA Bets went 1-2 last week at TPC Toronto Osprey Valley. Matti Schmid missed the cut, failing to cash a Top 20 Finish at +280 odds. Ryo Hisatsune carded a T47 finish, which was way below a Top 20 Finish at +280 odds. The lone winner was Alex Smalley’s T13 finish, cashing a Top 40 Finish prop at -140 odds.
I’m back with more best bets, each worth one unit, to place on the upcoming 2025 U.S. Open. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for additional free bets and weekly PGA Tour analysis.
2025 U.S. Open: Best Bets
These plays are 1 unit, or 1% of your betting bankroll. Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Top 30 Finish
We’ll dive into the Top 30 Finish betting market and target Taylor Pendrith for our first best bet at the 2025 U.S. Open. Pendrith has logged a T30 finish or better in seven of 16 events played on the PGA Tour this season. He’s also coming off of a T16 finish at Pinehurst No. 2 during last year’s U.S. Open.
Pendrith is ranked fourth SG: Off-the-Tee, including fifth total driving, which will be huge for him to gain distance and avoid the five-inch rough at Oakmont. He’s seventh at finding greens in regulation with an impressive 70.2 percent, while sitting 43rd proximity and 35th SG: Approach.
He sits outside the top 150 in putting and scrambling, so Pendrith’s short game is going to determine whether or not this ticket cashes at +160 odds. He’s coming off of three straight T30 finishes entering the U.S. Open, so let’s ride the Canadian ball-striker’s momentum and place a one-unit wager on this prop.
Pick: Taylor Pendrith (+160)
Top 30 Finish
Let’s stay in the Top 30 Finish prop betting market and back Ben Griffin to record a T30 finish or better at Oakmont this week. Griffin is trending up, winning the Charles Schwab Challenge for his first solo PGA Tour win on May 25th, before posting a runner-up finish at the Memorial Tournament.
Griffin is making his U.S. Open debut this week, so nerves could be a factor early. However, Griffin’s game is desirable for a course like Oakmont, which requires accuracy tee-to-green and a strong short game.
Griffin ranks 18th total strokes gained. This includes 30th at finding greens in regulation, 23rd scoring average and 42nd on par 4s. He’s also 45th in bogey avoidance, which will be huge this week on a course where birdies will be at a premium.
Let’s bet another unit on Ben Griffin to stay hot and record a Top 30 Finish at +125 odds ahead of Round 1.
Pick: Ben Griffin (+125)
Make/Miss Cut
I’ve been a big fan and believer of Lucas Glover’s golf game since he burst back onto the scene with a pair of wins in 2023. He’s had strong moments in 2025, carding three top 10 finishes, including a pair of T3 finishes earlier this season.
Glover has missed the cut in nine of his past 10 U.S. Open attempts. This includes last year at Pinehurst No. 2. He’s also coming off of a missed cut at Muirfield during the Memorial Tournament, which is a similar comparison to Oakmont in terms of difficult scoring conditions.
Ranks 130th SG: Putting, 83rd SG: Off-the-Tee, 139th GIR percentage (63.6%), 120th scoring average and 140th on par 4s. That’s enough to justify fading Glover at Oakmont this week, resulting in us cashing a ticket on him to miss the cut at even odds.
Pick: Lucas Glover (+100)