2025 U.S. Open Picks, & Predictions: Longshot Bets
Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa are the betting favorites before the 2025 U.S. Open tees off at Oakmont Country Club on Thursday morning. It’s a loaded field set to play arguably the toughest par 70 on the PGA Tour circuit.
Located just outside of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Oakmont is notorious for its thick five-inch rough and its undulated poa annua greens that run upwards of 14 feet via Stimpmeter. This means errant tee shots and approach shots will pay a steep price, along with navigating fast-paced and contoured greens.
Oddsmakers are big believers in Scottie Scheffler to keep stacking wins at Oakmont this week, valuing him at +280 in the outright winner betting market. Scheffler has won three of his past four events, including his first PGA Championship major at Quail Hollow Club last month.
Despite the immense talent set to play at the 2025 U.S. Open, we’re still going to hunt for a couple of longshot golfers who have the current form and skillset to endure Oakmont and climb into contention for the outright win.
I’m here with two of my favorite longshot golfers to target in the outright winner betting market on FanDuel Sportsbook. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free bets and weekly PGA Tour analysis.
2025 U.S. Open: Longshot Bets
These plays are .25u, or 0.25% of your betting bankroll. Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
Keegan Bradley (+8000)
Keegan Bradley is rounding into form ahead of Round 1 at Oakmont. The Ryder Cup captain has logged back-to-back T10 finishes at the PGA Championship and the Memorial Tournament, which are both difficult courses in terms of birdie to bogey disparity.
Bradley ranks 15th total strokes gained, which includes 27th SG: Off-the-Tee, 14th SG: Approach and 19th total driving. The seven-time PGA Tour winner also sits 26th in putting average and 17th on par 4s in 2025.
If Bradley can get his putter to cooperate just a bit, he’ll have a great chance to contend with the other favorites to win his first career major.
Nick Taylor (+17000)
The U.S. Open has not yielded strong results for Nick Taylor. The Canadian has missed the cut in four of six attempts, including three straight dating back to last year at Pinehurst No. 2.
Despite these historical shortcomings at this event, Taylor has been playing well in 2025. He’s got three top 10 finishes in 16 events, including a playoff win at the Sony Open in Hawaii back in January. Recently, Taylor carded a solo fourth-place finish at the Memorial Tournament, before posting a T13 finish at the RBC Canadian Open on Sunday.
Ranked 13th SG: Approach, including 26th in total strokes gained. Also sits 17th in driving accuracy, fifth at finding greens in regulation at 70.3 percent, 18th proximity and 32nd scrambling.
Taylor has all the makings of a longshot who can get hot and climb the leaderboard at Oakmont. He’s 20th in scoring average and 10th on par 4s, which comprise 12 of 18 holes this week.
We’ve got to take a shot on Taylor to win this major at a long 170-1 price ahead of the 125th U.S. Open.