Navigate

2025 US Open Picks & Predictions: Aaron Rai

by |

The third major of the year, the 2025 U.S. Open, begins Thursday at Oakmont Country Club in Western Pennsylvania.

Oakmont is a classic U.S. Open venue with narrow fairways, overgrown rough, and lightning-fast greens. We'll once again get to see the famous "Church Pews" - the huge bunker bordering holes No. 3 and No. 4 that has rows of grass strips in the sand.

It will be a challenging test for the best players in the world. Will we get a head-to-head duel between No. 1 player in the world Scottie Scheffler, who won the PGA Championship last month, and No. 2 Rory McIlroy, who won the Masters in April? Or will LIV Tour star Bryson DeChambeau successfully defend his 2024 U.S. Open title?

The BettingPros Guide to the 2025 U.S. Open will drill down on all the wagering opportunities this tournament presents, taking a closer look at the top contenders for America's national championship of golf.

Read on for our 2025 US Open picks and predictions for Sergio Garcia.

2025 US Open Picks & Predictions: Aaron Rai

Let’s dive into our top bets, picks, and predictions for the 2025 U.S. Open for Aaron Rai.

Stats to Know

  • DraftKings Odds to Win: +10000
  • World Ranking: 33
  • Best U.S. Open finish: 19 (2024)
  • Last two U.S. Open finishes: MC, 19
  • Last four tournament finishes: 23, 19, MC, MC

Course History

After missing the cut during his debut at the 2017 U.S. Open, Aaron Rai bounced back with a T-19 finish at Pinehurst No. 2 in 2024. He's only competed in these two U.S. Open majors, with drastically different results during these seven years.

Recent Form

Rai has missed the cut in back-to-back PGA Tour events at the Charles Schwab Challenge and the Memorial Tournament. The Englishman ranks 37th in total strokes gained, including leading the PGA Tour in driving accuracy. He's also 19th at finding greens in regulation. However, Rai's short game has been poor, while also sitting 156th in approach shots from 200+ yards.

Betting Outlook: 2025 U.S. Open Picks & Predictions

It's tempting to back Rai solely based on his off-the-tee accuracy at a course like Oakmont. He tends to score low in the first round, which could launch Rai into early contention. However, his short game is too bad to warrant a wager in any top finishing position market this week. I'm staying away from a volatile golfer like Rai, who has not been able to resolve his short game issues.

More 2025 U.S. Open Picks & Predictions

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App