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2025 US Open Picks & Predictions: Collin Morikawa

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The third major of the year, the 2025 U.S. Open, begins Thursday at Oakmont Country Club in Western Pennsylvania.

Oakmont is a classic U.S. Open venue with narrow fairways, overgrown rough, and lightning-fast greens. We'll once again get to see the famous "Church Pews" - the huge bunker bordering holes No. 3 and No. 4 that has rows of grass strips in the sand.

It will be a challenging test for the best players in the world. Will we get a head-to-head duel between No. 1 player in the world Scottie Scheffler, who won the PGA Championship last month, and No. 2 Rory McIlroy, who won the Masters in April? Or will LIV Tour star Bryson DeChambeau successfully defend his 2024 U.S. Open title?

The BettingPros Guide to the 2025 U.S. Open will drill down on all the wagering opportunities this tournament presents, taking a closer look at the top contenders for America's national championship of golf.

Read on for our 2025 US Open picks and predictions for Collin Morikawa.

2025 US Open Picks & Predictions: Collin Morikawa

Let’s dive into our top bets, picks, and predictions for the 2025 U.S. Open for Collin Morikawa.

Stats to Know

  • DraftKings Odds to Win: +2500
  • World Ranking: 4
  • Best U.S. Open finish: 4 (2021)
  • Last four U.S. Open finishes: 4, 5, 14, 14
  • Last four tournament finishes: MC, 17, 50, 20

Course History

The U.S. Open has seen Collin Morikawa turn in a top-20 finish or better outing in four straight appearances. Morikawa has gone T-14 in back-to-back years at this major and will make his debut at Oakmont this week. His best U.S. Open finish was T-4 at Torrey Pines South in 2021.

Recent Form

A runner-up finish at THE PLAYERS Championship in mid-March was the second time Morikawa came in second during 2025. Russell Henley's chip-in eagle flipped the momentum, and Morikawa's two-year win drought was extended.

Since that moment, Morikawa has had a missed cut and two T-50 or worse finishes - T-14 at the Masters and T-50 at the PGA Championship. He ranks eighth in total strokes gained, including sixth in SG: Approach, 19th in SG: Off-the-Tee and second for driving accuracy.

Betting Outlook: 2025 U.S. Open Picks & Predictions

Morikawa is a tough golfer to handicap at the moment. He's fully capable of tee-to-green accuracy, and his putter isn't a liability, ranking fourth in putting average. However, his game has not been in peak form since the Masters, so I'm not willing to invest in Morikawa to win outright at +2500. A top-20 finish for Morikawa is listed at -105, which may be the best play at Oakmont.

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