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2025 US Open Picks & Predictions: Hideki Matsuyama

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The third major of the year, the 2025 U.S. Open, begins Thursday at Oakmont Country Club in Western Pennsylvania.

Oakmont is a classic U.S. Open venue with narrow fairways, overgrown rough, and lightning-fast greens. We'll once again get to see the famous "Church Pews" - the huge bunker bordering holes No. 3 and No. 4 that has rows of grass strips in the sand.

It will be a challenging test for the best players in the world. Will we get a head-to-head duel between No. 1 player in the world Scottie Scheffler, who won the PGA Championship last month, and No. 2 Rory McIlroy, who won the Masters in April? Or will LIV Tour star Bryson DeChambeau successfully defend his 2024 U.S. Open title?

The BettingPros Guide to the 2025 U.S. Open will drill down on all the wagering opportunities this tournament presents, taking a closer look at the top contenders for America's national championship of golf.

Read on for our 2025 US Open picks and predictions for Hideki Matsuyama.

2025 US Open Picks & Predictions: Hideki Matsuyama

Let’s dive into our top bets, picks, and predictions for the 2025 U.S. Open for Hideki Matsuyama.

Stats to Know

  • Hideki Matsuyama Stats to Know
  • DraftKings Odds to Win: +7000
  • World Ranking: 9
  • Best U.S. Open finish: 2 (2017)
  • Last four U.S. Open finishes: 26, 4, 32, 6
  • Last four tournament finishes: 17, MC, 36, 38

Course History

The last time the U.S. Open was held at Oakmont Country Club, Hideki Matsuyama missed the cut. Since that missed cut in 2016, he has made the cut at the U.S. Open every year. He’s had three top-six finishes in this event.

Recent Form

The majors this year have not been great for Matsuyama, with a 21st-place finish at the Masters and a missed cut at the PGA Championship. Since missing the cut at the PGA, Matsuyama has finished 36th at the Charles Schwab Challenge and 38th at the Memorial Tournament.

This week at Oakmont, the thick rough will be incredibly impactful. This could be an issue for Matsuyama, who ranks 134th in driving accuracy this season.

Betting Outlook: 2025 U.S. Open Picks & Predictions

Matsuyama is one of the tougher calls to make this week. All of the stats suggest he’s not a good bet, and he hasn’t performed well this year in majors. It is just hard to ignore past results and history, and Hideki has had so much success.

If you like to bet with your gut, Matsuyama has proven in the past that he can win a major. If you are risk-averse with your money, letting him prove the stats wrong before jumping back on board may be the smart move.

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