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2025 US Open Picks & Predictions: Justin Thomas

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The third major of the year, the 2025 U.S. Open, begins Thursday at Oakmont Country Club in Western Pennsylvania.

Oakmont is a classic U.S. Open venue with narrow fairways, overgrown rough, and lightning-fast greens. We'll once again get to see the famous "Church Pews" - the huge bunker bordering holes No. 3 and No. 4 that has rows of grass strips in the sand.

It will be a challenging test for the best players in the world. Will we get a head-to-head duel between No. 1 player in the world Scottie Scheffler, who won the PGA Championship last month, and No. 2 Rory McIlroy, who won the Masters in April? Or will LIV Tour star Bryson DeChambeau successfully defend his 2024 U.S. Open title?

The BettingPros Guide to the 2025 U.S. Open will drill down on all the wagering opportunities this tournament presents, taking a closer look at the top contenders for America's national championship of golf.

Read on for our 2025 US Open picks and predictions for Justin Thomas.

2025 US Open Picks & Predictions: Justin Thomas

Let’s dive into our top bets, picks, and predictions for the 2025 U.S. Open for Justin Thomas.

Stats to Know

  • DraftKings Odds to Win: +4000
  • World Ranking: 5
  • Best U.S. Open finish: 8 (2020)
  • Last four U.S. Open finishes: 19, 37, MC, MC
  • Last four tournament finishes: 1, 2, MC, 31

Course History

This will be Justin Thomas' second career appearance at Oakmont Country Club, and he's looking to build on a 32nd-place finish that came back in 2016. He shot a +8 (73-69-73-73) over the four-day event. The American has missed the cut in the U.S. Open in two consecutive seasons, and he's failed to play weekend golf in six of his last 10 Majors.

Recent Form

While his form in major tournaments hasn't been fruitful recently, Thomas has been excelling overall in 2025. The 32-year-old won the RBC Heritage in April, while recording two second-place finishes this season.

Thomas is coming off a 31st-place outing at the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield a couple of weekends ago. Statistically, Thomas ranks 14th or better in the following categories: SG: Total (fourth), SG: Approach to Green (eighth) and SG: Putting (14th).

Betting Outlook: 2025 U.S. Open Picks & Predictions

Given Thomas’ history at Oakmont, he has an advantage heading into the event compared to some of the younger competitors. When factoring in that he also has three top-five finishes across his last six tournaments, I think it's worth backing him this weekend. I'll sprinkle a few dollars on the +600 payout (via DraftKings Sportsbook) that comes with Thomas to place fifth or better.

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