2026 BMW Championship Picks & Predictions: Best PGA Bets
The PGA Tour heads to the Midwest for the second leg of the 2026 FedExCup Playoffs at the BMW Championship this week. Played at Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis, Missouri, the top 50-ranked golfers in the FedExCup will tee it up for a guaranteed four rounds (no cut line) at a lengthy par 70.
Bellerive runs 7,448 yards. It features new Bentgrass greens, measuring 12.5 feet via Stimpmeter, while four-inch rough is comprised of fescue and bluegrass. Most of this field has minimal experience at Bellerive, which last hosted the 2018 PGA Championship.
My 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship Picks: Best Bets settled 1-2 at TPC Southwind on Sunday. Viktor Hovland managed to cash his Top 20 prop (T19), while Rickie Fowler (T34) and Michael Thorbjornsen (T47) came up short of their respective Top 20 Finishing Positions props at plus odds.
Scottie Scheffler is a short betting favorite (+300) following his dominant win at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Other favorites entering the BMW Championship include Rory McIlroy (+1600), Ludvig Åberg (+1600), and Xander Schauffele (+1800).
I’ve got three best bets ahead of Round 1 at the 2026 BMW Championship. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free picks and analysis during the remainder of the FedExCup Playoffs.
2026 BMW Championship Picks: Best Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Top 10 Finishing Position (incl. Ties)
I like Wyndham Clark’s game heading into Bellerive. He’s a bomber and a great putter, which is always a great combination to climb into contention. It’s why Clark has two outright wins in 2026, including his second U.S. Open title.
Clark is coming off a T5 finish in Memphis on Sunday. At 22nd in SG: Approach, 23rd in SG: Putting, including first in putting average, let’s roll a Top 10 Finishing Position (incl. Ties) prop on Wyndham Clark at +170 odds.
Pick: Wyndham Clark (+170)
Top 10 Finishing Position (incl. Ties)
Viktor Hovland possesses the same talent as Clark. However, he’s a much more volatile golfer this season, bouncing between good and bad rounds in a single event.
The Norwegian can be on top of his game, especially with his driver, ranked 26th in fairway accuracy. Hovland is 14th in SG: Approach and 21st in putts per round, so there’s enough to like about how he profiles at Bellerive this weekend.
Let’s stick in the Top 10 Finishing Position market and bet on Viktor Hovland at +170 odds.
Pick: Viktor Hovland (+170)
Top 20 Finishing Position (incl. Ties)
Since Bellerive caters to longer golfers, Gary Woodland immediately jumps out at plus odds in the Top 20 market. Woodland has had a strong season, posting a win and five top 10 finishes.
Woodland ranks sixth in SG: Off-the-Tee, including seventh in driving distance (322.3 yards) and 24th on 200+ yard approach shots. He also hovers around the top-50 mark in SG: Putting and proximity in 2026.
Woodland is top-20 in par 4 scoring, which bodes well for a course like Bellerive. Let’s close our betting card with one final wager on Gary Woodland to log a Top 20 Finish at +105 odds.
Pick: Gary Woodland (+105)