2026 TOUR Championship Picks & Predictions: PGA Sleepers
The 2026 TOUR Championship marks the final FedExCup Playoff event at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia, this week. It’s an exclusive field, featuring the top-30 golfers ranked in the latest FedExCup standings, with no starting strokes or cut line enforced.
East Lake is a par 70 that runs 7,440 yards. TifEagle Bermudagrass greens are average in size but hold speed at 13.5 feet via Stimpmeter, compared to a customary 12-foot speed on most courses. 3.5-inch rough, a few water hazards, and tree-lined fairways are also hazards to avoid in Atlanta this week.
Only 30 golfers in this field means we’re getting shorter odds for our typical Sleeper longshot picks. However, it also means we hold an improved probability of hitting on a golfer with longer odds due to a condensed field. Notable longshots at the TOUR Championship include Tom Kim (+4500), Akshay Bhatia (+8000), and Ryan Fox at +10000 odds.
My 2026 BMW Championship Picks & Predictions: PGA Sleepers saw Sungjae Im and Gary Woodland both post Top 10 finishes at 70-1 and 80-1, respectively. Im has been eliminated from the field this week, while Woodland is now 40-1.
I’ve got three more longshot golfers to sprinkle on in the outright winner betting market ahead of Round 1 at the TOUR Championship. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free picks and analysis.
2026 TOUR Championship Picks & Predictions: PGA Sleepers
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Tom Kim (+4500)
It’s been a resurgent year for Tom Kim on the PGA Tour. He won in Scotland and also has four top-10s in 2026, rated fourth in SG: Approach, eighth in proximity, and 29th in driving accuracy.
These stats are why Kim is fourth in scoring average. He’s also second on par 4s, and top-20 in birdie average this season.
Bet on Tom Kim as our top longshot play at 45-1 in his second trip to East Lake Golf Club.
Akshay Bhatia (+8000)
Akshay Bhatia cashed as a longshot in a similar price range earlier this year at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. I’ve got a soft spot for Bhatia, who just ended a three-event skid with a T12 at the BMW Championship.
In 2026, Bhatia ranks 11th in SG: Putting. The southpaw is also 35th in SG: Approach and leads the PGA Tour in sand save percentage this season. He’s sixth in putting average and seventh in putts per round.
Let’s bet on Bhatia’s putting talent to climb into contention for a chance to win his first FedExCup championship. Place a wager on Bhatia at lucrative 80-1 odds in the outright betting market this week.
Alex Fitzpatrick (+10000)
It was a dream debut on the PGA Tour for Alex Fitzpatrick. He’s proven that he can contend for wins, collecting five top 10s in just 13 events.
We’re landing a huge 100-1 number on Fitzpatrick due to recent lackluster finishes of MC-T71-T61-T61-T44. The Englishman is still ranked 10th in SG: Approach and 20th in SG: Off-the-Tee ahead of his East Lake debut.
In fact, Fitzpatrick leads the PGA Tour in total driving. He’s also 11th in proximity, so he’s a bona fide tee-to-green tactician. If we can get Fitzpatrick to resolve his putting woes, he’ll be a legitimate threat to win the 2026 FedExCup.
Bet on Alex Fitzpatrick as one of two golfers with the longest outright winner odds at 100-1 in Atlanta this week.