2026 WM Phoenix Open Picks & Predictions: PGA Longshots
The 2026 WM Phoenix Open is set to tee off from TPC Scottsdale in Arizona this week. Scottie Scheffler makes his return as a massive +220 betting favorite, seeking his third win at this event following his first victory at The American Express.
TPC Scottsdale is a par 71 that runs short of 7,300 yards. Overseeded Bermudagrass is the primary surface on this lone course, measuring 12 feet via Stimpmeter with sprawling 7,000 square foot average greens.
Accuracy on approach and putting are paramount to low scorecards at the WM Phoenix Open. Its rowdy atmosphere is always an attraction, while a loaded field of 123 golfers holds value in the outright winner market with Scheffler in attendance.
Last year’s WM Phoenix Open winner, Thomas Detry, beat the field by seven strokes as a huge underdog. Let’s try to find the next Detry before Round 1 tees off on Thursday morning.
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2026 WM Phoenix Open: PGA Longshots
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Christian Bezuidenhout (+8000)
Christian Bezuidenhout is still seeking his first PGA Tour win. The South African has been playing well early in 2026, carding a T38 at The American Express and a T27 at the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines on Sunday.
Bezuidenhout recorded a T4 finish at the 2025 WM Phoenix Open. He shot 4-under-par in three of four rounds, while never straying below 2-under-par.
Metrics bode well for Bezuidenhout heading into TPC Scottsdale. Ranks seventh in total strokes gained, third SG: Putting, 36th at greens in regulation, and 30th scrambling.
There’s enough to like about Bezuidenhout, even as he continues to search for his first victory on the PGA Tour. Let’s sprinkle a quarter-unit (0.25) on Bezuidenhout to win at +8000 odds.
Andrew Novak (+10000)
Andrew Novak was never in contention at Torrey Pines, but my 75-1 outright on him at the Farmers Insurance Open last week wound up T7 at 14-under-par.
Now, Novak enters TPC Scottsdale seeking a better performance than his missed cut here in 2025. Novak had a career year on the PGA Tour last season, and now, he’s gained momentum off a top-10 finish at one of the most difficult courses on the PGA circuit.
Ranked 16th SG: Approach, 31st SG: Putting, and third in proximity. Also, top-30 marks for approach shots from 200+ yards, putting average, and birdie average.
This is a perfect recipe to climb the leaderboard at a birdie-fest like the WM Phoenix Open. Bet on Novak to win again this week at a lucrative 100-1 payout.
Eric Cole (+15000)
Eric Cole has quietly pieced together a fast start in 2026. The California native is also seeking his first PGA Tour win, while also trying to bounce back from a missed cut at TPC Scottsdale in 2025.
Cole has gone T27 in back-to-back events following a missed cut at the Sony Open. Ranks 33rd in SG: Approach, 34th in scrambling, and 30th in putting average.
Off-the-tee accuracy issues abound, along with a lack of proximity. However, at 150-1, Cole is worth another quarter-unit wager as our final longshot in the 2026 WM Phoenix Open outright winner market.