7 MLB Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks for Monday, July 4 (2022)
Letâs check out the top player prop odds and picks for Monday.
Top MLB Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks for Monday
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
The Marlins are on a good run as they come into this game hot as a grill at your BBQ with a four-game winning streak. They have scored five or more runs in the last three.
The bats might need to stay hot with Braxton Garrett on the mound. Heâs currently 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA and is in the 30th percentile or lower in xBA, xERA, hard-hit percentage, and wOBA. Heâs changed up his pitching style this year by throwing the slider more, but itâs not getting positive results as heâs lost two inches off his average drop, and he went from a run value of -1 with the pitch to +3.
On the other side is Patrick Corbin. It might be mean to pick on him for every start, but itâs hard not to take advantage of his struggles. Amongst qualified starters, he has the highest ERA (6.06), WHIP (1.70), hits allowed (109), and is only one of two players with ten or more losses this year.
We have two struggling pitchers, and in this series, weâve seen eight or more total runs in the three previous games. Theyâll be setting off fireworks early in the nationâs capital.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Hunter Green under 5.5 strikeouts (-124)
- Brandon Nimmo to record 2+ total bases (-115)
- Starling Marte to record 2+ total bases (-120 )
New York will have Taijuan Walker on the mound, and after ten seasons in the league, heâs having a breakout campaign. He has a career-best 2.72 ERA and has been fantastic over his last four starts going 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA and averaging a little over nine strikeouts per nine.
On the other side is the Redsâ No. 1 prospect Hunter Greene. Thereâs a ton of raw talent here, but heâs going through growing pains. He has a fastball that can eclipse 100 MPH, but he keeps it primarily in the middle of the plate. It doesnât matter how fast you throw, if you keep it in the zone, hitters will adjust, and it shows as they are batting .333 and a .710 slugging percentage off it.
The Mets arenât a power-hitting team, but theyâre one of the best at making contact as theyâre second in OBP (.327) and fifth in BABIP (.300). Greene will provide the firepower, and the Mets will use it to make the balls fly like Roman Candles.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Oakland Athletics
Cole Irvin will take the mound, but heâs been struggling with a 4.81 ERA in his last four starts after a good beginning to the season with a 3.00 ERA in his first nine. He could be in for another rough day as the Blue Jays are batting .318 against Irvin in 38 at-bats and are sixth in average (.266) and fourth in OPS (.759) against left-handers on the road this year.
The Jays will counteract with Alek Manoah, whoâs already matched his 9-2 record from last season, and is making a case for AL Cy Young votes. Heâs coming into the start as one of the best this year, with his 3.1 WAR being second amongst pitchers, a 2.09 ERA that is third, and a 0.961 WHIP that is fourth. This Oakland lineup continues to trend downward, and now theyâre last across the slash line.
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