Best MLB Player Props & Picks: Yankees vs. Rays (Monday)
The New York Yankees aim to even their ALDS series against the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 2 on Monday night. With Tampa Bay holding a 1-0 lead, Cam Schlittler is scheduled to oppose Freddy Peralta in a pivotal matchup before the series moves to New York. From pitcher strikeouts to batter hits, total bases and RBIs, we examine the individual matchups that could create value on the prop board. Read on for our favorite Yankees vs. Rays MLB player props and picks for October 5.
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Today’s Best MLB Player Props & Bets: Yankees vs. Rays
Here are the best MLB player prop bets for today’s game Yankees vs. Rays.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Cam Schlittler had an exceptional regular season, with the following numbers in 33 starts and 193.2 innings:
- 1.95 ERA
- 2.85 xERA
- 2.86 xFIP
- 3.18 SIERA
- 0.92 WHIP
- 6.4% walk rate
- 31.4% strikeout rate
- 13.9% SwStr%
- 28.8% CSW%
- 113 stuff+
- 102 location+
- 114 pitching+
Schlittler did his best work on the road. In 17 road starts spanning 109 innings, Schlittler posted a 1.16 ERA, 2.68 xFIP, 0.74 WHIP, 5.6% walk rate and 31.4% strikeout rate.
The Yankees ace didn’t waste any time asserting his dominance in the playoffs, either. Schlittler threw 6.1 innings of scoreless baseball, with two hits allowed, one walk and 10 strikeouts.
Freddy Peralta had a forgettable regular season. He pitched better for the Rays after they traded for him than he did for the Mets, though. Peralta had a 3.25 ERA, 3.74 xERA, 4.62 xFIP and 4.44 SIERA in 10 starts for Tampa Bay. The ERA estimators provide a reason for pause, but he closed the regular season on a good note.
Peralta amassed the following stats in his last five regular-season starts spanning 28 innings:
- 0.96 ERA
- 2.93 xERA
- 4.47 xFIP
- 4.35 SIERA
- 0.89 WHIP
- 8.3% walk rate
- 21.1% strikeout rate
- 10% SwStr%
- 21.3% CSW%
- 102 stuff+
- 114 location+
- 116 pitching+
Peralta’s ERA and xERA were sparkling, and his pitch modeling was stellar. He allowed one run or fewer in his last six regular-season starts, and he allowed two, one, zero and one run in his four home starts for the Rays.
Beyond the high-quality starters, the bullpens are good as well. New York’s relievers were second in bullpen ERA (3.15) in the regular season, and the Rays were 14th (3.99). Finally, the Rays are coming off a 1-0 win. Another pitching duel is likely, and -105 for under 6.5 runs looks good.
Pick: Under 6.5 Runs (-105)
More MLB Player Props & Bets for Yankees vs. Rays
We compiled several projection sources to come up with consensus projections. We then compared these projections to the prop bet odds from the sportsbooks to give you the best MLB player props, bets and picks. Let’s take a look at the top player props, bets, odds, rankings, and picks for Yankees vs. Rays.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.