Best NFL Player Prop Bets: Week 10 (2020)
Last week, we bet against Christian McCaffrey. Okay, enough about last week!
Let’s get right into the players and props to watch for in Week 9. For this week’s picks, you can find the lines at BetMGM.
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The Prop: O/U 31.5 rushing yards for Jamaal Williams (GB)
Aaron Rodgers can’t throw to Davante Adams every play, right? He certainly shouldn’t need to this week, as the Packers are two-touchdown favorites over the Jaguars. Conventional wisdom suggests this should be a game in which the Green Bay backfield gets a real chance to shine.
Green Bay has used the Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams tandem as a two-head rushing behemoth this season. Matt LaFleur hasn’t been afraid to deploy the pair on the field simultaneously, giving opposing defenses some extra eye candy with which to contend.
Though Jones is the more talented player, the Packers genuinely appreciate the passion and flair Williams brings to the table. The latter isn’t going anywhere in this offense. After missing last week’s game due to COVID protocols, Williams should factor heavily into Green Bay’s game plan against the Jags.
The 25-year-old is a bruiser between the tackles. He could conceivably cover this prop with one grand gash through the lowly Jacksonville defense. The Jaguars rank near the bottom of the league in rushing yards allowed, a stat that should only get worse after Sunday. Jones will get his touches, too, but this number for Williams is too tasty to pass up in a game that should feature plenty of ball control for the Packers offense.
The Play: Jamaal Williams over 31.5 rushing yards (-110 at BetMGM)
The Prop: O/U 50.5 rushing yards for Kyler Murray (ARI)
If 2020 has taught us anything, it’s that Kyler Murray definitely chose the right sport. While low-wage minor league baseball players didn’t get to play their season, Murray has shined on the gridiron. Arizona’s gunslinger has established himself as one of the premier dual-threat quarterbacks in the NFL, proving on a weekly basis his ability to raise his game to match the competition.
Perhaps the best game of this NFL season featured Murray outdueling Seattle’s Russell Wilson in a Week 7 overtime thriller. In Week 10, Murray will go toe-to-toe with another rising star at the quarterback position, Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills. Coming off a frustrating loss in which Kliff Kingsbury’s game management cost the Cardinals against Miami, we expect Murray to take matters into his own hands with frequency to try and get his team back in the win column.
That means scrambling, improvising, and play-making. Though Buffalo’s defense could limit his connection with DeAndre Hopkins, Murray’s legs loom large. Last week against the Dolphins, he produced the rushing line of a bellcow halfback, collecting 106 yards and a touchdown on 11 carries.
Murray has failed to clear the 50-yard mark on the ground only twice this season. The Cardinals have designed a large portion of their offense around his ability to move outside the pocket. Murray’s sheer competitiveness to prevail in close games should result in another big day on the ground for the Cardinals QB.
The Play: Kyler Murray over 50.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
The Prop: O/U 43.5 receiving yards for Hunter Henry
It’s been a quiet season for one of the most talented tight ends in the NFL. Hunter Henry has seen consistent target volume in the Chargers offense, but he hasn’t found a way to make any noise with his opportunities of late.
Henry’s connection with Justin Herbert hasn’t been as fruitful as the one he enjoyed with Philip Rivers. While Rivers has always favored his tight ends over the middle of the field, Herbert has shown a propensity for the long ball. The rookie has leaned heavily on Keenan Allen and the other receivers in this Los Angeles attack. Herbert has reserved the most meaningful targets for his wideouts, leaving Henry with a slew of lackluster games.
Henry hasn’t cleared 40 yards receiving since Week 3. Additionally, the Miami Dolphins haven’t been particularly generous to opposing tight ends. Herbert and the Chargers offense should enjoy another productive afternoon. I’m just not convinced Henry will play a significant role in it.
The Play: Hunter Henry under 43.5 receiving yards (-110 BetMGM)
Bonus touchdown scorers of the week: Robert Woods -118, Brandin Cooks +162, Jerry Jeudy +162
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Brenden Schaeffer is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Brenden, check out his archive and follow him @bschaeffer12.