Best NFL Player Props: Thursday Night Football (Seahawks vs. Broncos)
Week 6 kicks off with Thursday Night Football as the Seattle Seahawks visit the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High on October 15. Our BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet has generated +25 units of profit across 803 NFL picks, with a 50.8% win rate and 3.2% ROI this season. Passing yard props have led the way at +37.8 units and a 59.2% win rate, while anytime touchdown picks have added +12.3 units with a 59.4% win rate. Below, we break down the best NFL player props for Seahawks vs. Broncos, using player usage, matchup analysis and projections to identify betting value before kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
NFL Player Props Rankings & Predictions: Seahawks vs. Broncos (Thursday Night Football)
Here’s one of our favorite player props picks for Thursday Night Football.
Bo Nix Under 199.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Bo Nix has struggled mightily this season. According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, among 37 quarterbacks with at least 50 dropbacks, Nix ranks:
- 32nd in completion rate (59.9%)
- 21st in adjusted completion rate (76.1%)
- 30th in completion percentage over expectation (-1.0% CPOE)
- 27th in passing yards per game (188.4)
- 25th in adjusted net yards per pass attempt (5.35 ANY/A)
Nix has reached the 200-passing-yard threshold only twice in five starts, and he threw for a season-low 123 yards in Sean Payton’s first game back in the play-caller seat last week.
Nix has his work cut out for him this week. On a short week, he’s tasked with facing an incredibly stingy pass defense. The Seahawks are second in passing yards allowed per game (166.8) to quarterbacks this season. Seattle hasn’t allowed even 190 passing yards to any quarterback this season.
Justin Herbert and Brock Purdy are tied for the most passing yards against the Seahawks this season (189). FantasyPros projects Nix to pass for only 191 yards this week.
More NFL Player Props for Thursday Night Football: Seahawks vs. Broncos
We compiled several projection sources to come up with consensus projections. We then compared these projections to the NFL player prop bet odds from the sportsbooks to give you the best NFL player prop bet picks. View the best player prop bets for this week’s slate with our NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet.
What is an NFL player prop bet?
An NFL player prop bet is a type of wager where you’re betting on the performance of a specific player in a game rather than the overall outcome. For example, you might place a bet on how many passing yards a quarterback will throw for, or how many touchdowns a running back will score. It’s a fun way to get more invested in the action, especially if you’re confident in how a particular player will perform, regardless of who wins or loses the game. It’s like focusing on one slice of the pie instead of the whole thing.
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