BettingPros Expert Super Bowl LV Picks

The majority of the betting public likes the Kansas City Chiefs to win their second consecutive Super Bowl title – and they’re not alone.

Here’s a look at the moneyline, ATS and O/U picks from six of our sports betting experts, along with their choices for final score and Super Bowl Most Valuable Player:

View our Prop Bet Cheat Sheet for Super Bowl LV >>

Super Bowl Final Score Prediction

James Bisson: Their Week 12 meeting was one of the most entertaining games of the season – and with the NFL title on the line, I’m expecting an even better game Sunday. Tampa Bay is a formidable opponent, but there are few teams that can hang with the Chiefs. Tom Brady and Co. will make it tough, but I expect Mahomes and Kansas City to narrowly prevail (and cover). Chiefs 31, Buccaneers 27. 

Isaiah Sirois : Tyreek Hill led the Chiefs to a three-point victory over the Buccaneers in Week 12, but the final score is a bit misleading, as the 14 of Tampa Bay’s points came in the fourth quarter. I expect the Chiefs to get off to another hot start this Sunday, and Tom Brady will come up just short once again. Chiefs 35, Buccaneers 24.

Dan Harris: I think the game will be fairly tight early as the Chiefs take a little time to adjust to the loss of Eric Fisher and both sides play a bit conservatively start. I think the game may trend toward the under in the first half, even. But eventually, Patrick Mahomes is going to do his thing, and I think it’s going to be one of those three consecutive touchdown drives over the course of 10 minutes type of momentum shifts in the second half. Brady will put up points late in the game, but it will be mostly a futile effort, even if the final score doesn’t necessarily indicate so. Chiefs 38, Buccaneers 31.

Mike Tagliere: This game will be a shootout, plain and simple. Neither team likes to run the ball a lot, which is actually a benefit to the Chiefs. Not only do they have Patrick Mahomes, but by passing the ball more often, it removes the best part of the Bucs defense, their ability to stop the run. Any time you go toe-to-toe with Mahomes and that Chiefs offense, you’re going to lose. If the Bucs want to win this game, it won’t be because of Tom Brady. It’ll be because they kept Mahomes and the Chiefs offense off the field by running the football. The Bucs averaged just 24.1 rushing attempts in the regular season, which ranked as the fifth-fewest in the NFL. I’m taking Kansas City. Chiefs 31, Buccaneers 27.

Mike Spector: Patrick Mahomes is 25-1 SU in his last 26 games as a starter. Even though he and the Chiefs are facing the GOAT, Tom Brady, Mahomes gets the edge for me until teams prove they can beat them on a more consistent basis. Much will be made of Chiefs left tackle Eric Fisher’s injury, and that Kansas City will be without three regular starters on the offensive line. However, Mahomes gets the ball out too quickly to be rattled by consistent pressure. If the Chiefs were planning on relying on more of a running game, then the offensive line would be more of an issue. However, I expect Andy Reid to employ a pass-heavy attack so as not to challenge the league’s best run defense in Tampa Bay. Chiefs 31, Buccaneers 24.

Matt Barbato: Everyone wishes we could’ve seen Michael Jordan and LeBron James play against each other. Years from now, we’ll remember this game as a showdown between the two greatest quarterbacks to ever play. In this matchup, I’m siding with the challenger to Tom Brady’s throne. While Patrick Mahomes’ arm talent and insane improvisational skills generate all the buzz, perhaps my favorite quality about Mahomes is that he’s unflappable under pressure. Like his counterpart Brady, Mahomes always knows where to go with the football, especially when you blitz him. While the matchup between Kansas City’s offensive line and Tampa Bay’s front seven is intimidating, Mahomes will have enough time to exploit a Buccaneers secondary that’s been Tampa Bay’s weakest link at times. The Chiefs have flipped the switch during the postseason. Meanwhile, the Bucs struggled to put away Taylor Heinecke and the Washington Football Team, beat a washed up Drew Brees and benefitted from terrible coaching and mediocre quarterback play from the Packers. I’ll take Kansas City to repeat in a thrilling win. Chiefs 30, Buccaneers 24.

Super Bowl MVP Prediction

James Bisson: The easy choice is to roll with the winning quarterback – but where’s the fun in that? It’s time we had a tight end as Super Bowl MVP; it’s never happened before, but if any player is capable of ending the 55-year drought, it’s Travis Kelce. I see a big game from the No. 1 TE in football, earning him the MVP nod ahead of Mahomes.

Isaiah Sirois: It’s hard to bet against Mahomes or Brady, but I’ll roll with Tyreek Hill here. He posted 269 receiving yards against the Buccaneers back in Week 12, and Tampa Bay’s secondary has struggled throughout the playoffs. They allowed speedy receivers like Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Tre’Quan Smith to torch them for massive touchdown receptions, so if Hill can dominate as he did in Week 12, he has a real chance to win MVP. That said, a big game for Hill could also just help Patrick Mahomes clinch his second-straight Super Bowl MVP.

Dan Harris: Patrick Mahomes. Yes, it’s obviously incredibly chalk, but over the last 14 Super Bowls, a quarterback has been the MVP 10 times. A non-QB usually wins the award when it’s either a low-scoring, defensive game or it’s a total blowout where the QB isn’t a huge part, and I don’t expect either of those scenarios to be in play. Mahomes obviously won the award last year so the powers that be may choose to go another way assuming the Chiefs win (as I expect) and Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce goes absolutely nuts. But Mahomes is by far the most likely player to be responsible for the Chiefs’ win, so I would be hard-pressed to go another way.

Mike Tagliere: With the way we see this game playing out (a shootout), it’s going to go to an offensive player, and that player has to be Patrick Mahomes. Of the last 11 Super Bowls, the Super Bowl MVP was a quarterback in eight of them. Two of the remaining three were defensive players. So, unless you see this as being a defensive battle, it’s likely we see an offensive player win the award. Could it be Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce? Sure, but you’re betting against the odds if you think that’ll be the case.

Mike Spector: Though Patrick Mahomes is the most likely winner, I cannot lay that steep of odds. For much better value, give me Travis Kelce, who can be found at +1300 odds or better at most sportsbooks. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill had a record-setting day in the regular season matchup between these teams, and I expect the Buccaneers to pay him extra attention in this game. That should open up the middle of the field more for the best tight end in the game. Kelce has the highest projected receiving yards of any skill position player, and MVP votes should come his way if he exceeds the already high total, and posts a touchdown or two to boot.

Matt Barbato: Like many things in football, the Super Bowl MVP has become a quarterback award. Quarterbacks have won the award 30 times and three out of the last four years. To get Patrick Mahomes at this price really isn’t bad at all if you expect the Chiefs to win the game. If you think Tampa Bay will win, I’d recommend betting Brady at +210. If you’re looking for longer shots, I’d take Travis Kelce +1350 for the Chiefs, as I expect him to get the highest target volume. Finally, one flier I’d put a few bucks on is Devin White at 40/1 odds. Two linebackers have won Super Bowl MVP over the last seven years (Malcolm Smith and Von Miller). White is an incredible athlete who racks up tackles and recorded nine sacks, an interception and three fumble recoveries this season. It’ll likely require a lower scoring game to happen, but White is a phenomenal player who could make an enormous impact.

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